Reform UK has opened up a six-point national lead over the governing Labour Party, according to a YouGov survey for The Times and Sky News conducted 13–14 July. The right-wing party polls 28%, ahead of Labour on 22%, the Conservatives on 17%, the Liberal Democrats at 16% and the Greens at 12%. Separate research underscores the squeeze on Labour from both the right and left. A FindoutNow poll carried out 4–7 July puts Reform at 34%, while Labour and a newly announced Corbyn–Sultana party are tied on 15%, with the Conservatives at 17%. Modeling by More in Common during the same fieldwork period shows Reform on 27% and Labour on 22%, with a hypothetical Corbyn-led outfit taking 8%. The figures suggest Labour is bleeding support to Reform among socially conservative voters while also losing progressive voters to smaller left-of-centre parties and the still-formative Corbyn–Sultana movement. The polling setbacks come as Chancellor Rachel Reeves weighs tax increases to plug an estimated £30 billion budget shortfall, including pressure from within Labour’s own ranks for a wealth levy on the richest households.
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I would consider it very likely that the Corbyn Party would make an electoral pact with the Greens, which I imagine at these numbers would mean an extinction level event for Labour. But the Tories wouldn’t benefit from it at all. Wild polling at the moment. https://t.co/31f1Tk4zzk
NEW. Reform 28% Labour 22% Tories 17% Source - YouGov 13-14 July 2026 https://t.co/DUmaAZLsw3