Recent discussions among experts highlight the accelerating pace towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), with some suggesting it could be achieved within a few years. Concerns have been raised about the implications of AGI, particularly if developed first by countries like China. The CEO of Forethought AI noted that while AGI may be closer than anticipated, it might also be less daunting than feared. The rapid progression from AGI to Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) is also a concern, as self-improving AGI could lead to ASI in a very short timeframe. Furthermore, reports indicate that China has managed to replicate OpenAI's advanced AI model in just two months, despite facing a GPU trade blockade. This has led to speculation that AGI development will be treated with the same urgency as the Manhattan Project in future U.S. administrations, potentially resulting in significant regulatory changes affecting open-source AI.
China duplicated OpenAI's o1-preview, the world's most advanced AI model, in just 2 months—despite a GPU trade blockade. This is why AGI will be treated like the Manhattan Project in Trump's second term. Expect drastic measures, open-source AI will pay the price as AGI dawns. https://t.co/oIf7zBKmDz
AGI to ASI could very well be a very, VERY short timeframe. Once you have an AGI that can improve itself things are going to lead to ASI VERY fast. Whoever achieves AGI first wins everything. https://t.co/zKH6HYIZoV
What happens if China gets AGI first?