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Prediction markets for America
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
Mar 17, 7:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
56%chance
6712154
OptionVotes
1340
512
OptionVotes
1223
818
Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?
Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
28%chance
725757
OptionVotes
1909
367
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM
56%chance
363606
OptionVotes
1025
960
Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?
Aug 30, 10:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
5%chance
202095
OptionVotes
1184
959
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
34.3%chance
221821
OptionVotes
1384
722
Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?
Dec 11, 3:04 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
71.87%chance
171481
OptionVotes
1127
937
Will the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?
Jul 6, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.43%chance
13714
OptionVotes
1165
859
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.73%chance
13546
OptionVotes
1158
864
OptionVotes
1042
877
Will any America Party candidate appear on a federal midterm election ballot in 2026?
Jul 5, 8:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.42%chance
6215
OptionVotes
1053
950
Will we get tarrifs on Chinese microtransaction in Trump's America?
Nov 16, 11:26 AMNov 24, 5:59 AM
43.84%chance
5164
OptionVotes
1132
884
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