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Prediction markets for Ultra
OptionVotes
4521
221
Will the next version of Google's LLMs NOT have Flash / Pro / Ultra or other words after the number?
May 20, 8:01 PMMay 20, 7:59 PM
4.44%chance
64170
OptionVotes
4640
216
Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?
Feb 29, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.02%chance
232852
OptionVotes
1145
872
Of the world's current highest ultra-wealthy, who will be the last standing?
Feb 24, 7:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
131257
OptionProbability
29
22
15
10
5
Will the "Destruction of a Nuclear Bomb Using Ultra-High Energy Neutrino Beam" occur before 2034?
Feb 6, 12:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2.84%chance
191016
OptionVotes
1279
957
Did Google intentionally announce Gemini Ultra in a state barely outperforming GPT-4 to slow the capabilities race?
Dec 8, 2:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.52%chance
11496
OptionVotes
528
131
Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?
Nov 26, 6:21 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM
6431
OptionProbability
89
80
76
72
66
66
66
66
66
59
51
50
50
41
41
41
41
41
38
26
19
17
Will I complete the Ultra Trail de Mont Blanc before 2027?
Dec 17, 7:15 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
37.68%chance
4250
OptionVotes
155
64
Will GiveWell fund/recommend Ultra Poor Graduation initiatives before January 2028?
Jan 15, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.14%chance
490
OptionVotes
160
110
Will Xiaomi 17 Ultra have a “single slab of glass” display with no bezels at all?
May 18, 5:51 PMJan 31, 5:51 PM
58.85%chance
486
OptionVotes
120
84
Goku Achieves Transformation Beyond Ultra Instinct before 2027?
Jul 5, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.83%chance
569
OptionVotes
116
87
Will Ultra Wide Band (UWB) In human beings(ieee.802.14.04)be compatible with interface technology and more? Before 2027?
May 31, 2:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.98%chance
220
OptionVotes
120
83
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