Ultra News
Prediction markets for Ultra
Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?
Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
47.84%chance
125581
OptionVotes
10661
9352
OptionProbability
98
1
0
0
0
0
Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?
Feb 29, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53.43%chance
242952
OptionVotes
1016
972
Of the world's current highest ultra-wealthy, who will be the last standing?
Feb 24, 7:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
222345
OptionProbability
47
36
26
1
0
Will the "Destruction of a Nuclear Bomb Using Ultra-High Energy Neutrino Beam" occur before 2034?
Feb 6, 12:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2.84%chance
191016
OptionVotes
1279
957
Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?
Nov 26, 6:21 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM
8494
OptionProbability
81
80
76
76
72
66
66
66
66
59
54
50
50
41
41
41
41
38
28
26
19
17
Goku Achieves Transformation Beyond Ultra Instinct before 2027?
Jul 5, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.25%chance
5109
OptionVotes
156
64
Will GiveWell fund/recommend Ultra Poor Graduation initiatives before January 2028?
Jan 15, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.14%chance
490
OptionVotes
160
110
Will Ultra Wide Band (UWB) In human beings(ieee.802.14.04)be compatible with interface technology and more? Before 2027?
May 31, 2:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.98%chance
220
OptionVotes
120
83
OptionVotes
70
36
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