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ABC News

    Prediction markets for ABC

    Epstein files prop bets (ADD YOURS)

    Nov 18, 11:15 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
    17024417

    OptionProbability

    At least one credible mainstream news source reports by EO2026 that the files are either partially redacted or partly missing or suspects the files were altered (opinion section OK)

    By EOY26 Massie claims that the files have been altered or otherwise significantly not in compliance with the bill's requirements

    However, the administration manages to blacken great parts of the files.

    At least five people with Wikipedia pages resign due to files

    A MSM news source speculates partisan bias in redactions (opinion section OK) by EOY2026

    Someone in the November 2025 Supreme Court is mentioned in the files

    Something happens or is enforced by Trump to divert the attraction on other things.

    Stacey Plaskett no longer a US House Delegate before 1 Feb 2027?

    After blackened papers are made public, there will be a leakage of uncensored files.

    Soon after release, the Trump DOJ launches a raft of investigations against political opponents named in the Epstein files.

    The 10 possible "co-conspirators" of Epstein are revealed

    An ongoing DOJ investigation triggered by Trump’s allegations involving Bill Clinton or others will result in the files being sealed and not publicly released despite the Epstein Transparency Act

    Somebody gets prison time

    Files suggest Epstein offered to cooperation/testimony against associates within 1 year of his death.

    Any congressperson gets impeached/removed in 2026 in part due to their involvement with Epstein

    Any F500 company’s market cap loses 10% within a week of an executive’s involvements with Epstein becoming known

    "Bubba" photo released or leaked by EOY26

    Trump Cock reveal!

    Trump gets impeached in 2026 in part due to his involvement with Epstein

    At least 10% of current (Nov. 19, '25) House Representatives leave office (by any means) before the next congress is sworn in

    George Stephanopoulos Leaves ABC before 4th of July 2026

    Trump admin vetoes the Nov 18 release

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    98

    94

    92

    60

    30

    27

    17

    17

    15

    12

    10

    6

    4

    3

    2

    1

    0

    What [mathematical statement] will happen by [date]?

    Sep 9, 12:10 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
    10714244

    OptionProbability

    Hodge conjecture solved by June 2027

    OpenAI Open Problems saturated by Jan 2028

    ≥4 Millenniums by Feb 2027

    ABC Conjecture by May 2027

    Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture solved by EoY 2026

    Odd perfect numbers by EoY 2027.

    Yang-Mills existence and mass gap solved by May 2027

    RH solved by June 2027

    Goldbach conjecture solved by May 2027

    ≥6 Millennium by EoY 2027

    Collatz by EoY 2027

    Twin Prime conjecture solved by EoY 2026

    P vs NP by EoY 2027

    The entire pre-2026 mathematical edifice is considered solved by EoY 2029

    72

    59

    50

    46

    38

    37

    36

    30

    25

    22

    14

    13

    11

    6

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2380

    420

    Is Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰

    Oct 16, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:30 PM
    56%chance
    255534

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    7401

    2456

    OptionProbability

    At least one of the six left Millennium problems is found with a counter-example

    Shinichi Mochizuki is right or almost right about abc conjecture

    A unified framework for gravitation and quantum theory is proposed that is not string theory

    Neural Networks are explainable and can be trained without gradient descent with better performance.

    At least one of the six left Millennium problems is undecidable

    No AI will be powerful enough to directly (as a necessary condition) lead to a significant discovery in math.

    A counterexample was found for Goldbach's conjecture

    P vs. NP will be trivial (i.e., provable using simple methods taught in undergrad classes, e.g., with a counter-example)

    97

    41

    37

    31

    25

    14

    10

    9

    Kirti-Mochizuki proof of the ABC conjecture is correct.

    Sep 10, 11:00 PMSep 17, 10:59 PM
    17.27%chance
    12574

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    219

    46

    Is the abc conjecture correct?

    Feb 7, 5:41 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
    85.09%chance
    14490

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    270

    133

    OptionProbability

    The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

    The View

    NBC

    ABC

    CBS

    The Simpsons

    FOX

    South Park

    35

    34

    23

    20

    20

    10

    5

    4

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1005

    995

    Jimmy Kimmel out of ABC before May 2027?

    Apr 28, 12:05 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
    22.42%chance
    786

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    186

    54

    ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPRSTUWXYZ

    Nov 10, 11:06 AM
    150

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