ABC News
Prediction markets for ABC
OptionProbability
100
100
100
94
90
86
55
54
54
51
37
37
30
29
24
24
24
12
10
2
0
JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029
Feb 7, 5:57 PMJun 1, 11:00 PM
17.51%chance
509712
OptionVotes
2170
461
OptionVotes
3192
313
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.3%chance
271379
OptionVotes
1177
880
OptionVotes
1992
564
By EOY 2034, what unexpected views of math will be changed by (superhuman) AI?
Mar 21, 9:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16589
OptionProbability
70
37
35
25
25
16
12
Kirti-Mochizuki proof of the ABC conjecture is correct.
Sep 10, 11:00 PMSep 17, 10:59 PM
6.19%chance
10540
OptionVotes
389
26
One Nation gets at least 5 seats in the South Australian election?
Mar 23, 3:15 AMMar 29, 12:59 PM
38.1%chance
3475
OptionVotes
1275
784
What TV shows/stations will get yanked due to Trump? (add answers)
Sep 18, 7:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
9384
OptionProbability
35
34
23
20
20
10
5
4
OptionVotes
204
146
OptionVotes
1061
942




