Axios News

Tech Founder Ethan Agarwal Enters 2026 California Governor Race

1 year ago

Clinton Warns Supreme Court May Overturn Same-Sex Marriage

US Judiciary

Politics

Clinton Warns Supreme Court May Overturn Same-Sex Marriage

1 year ago

Latin America

Venezuela

US Foreign Policy

US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Politics

Axios Lists 11 Tested Tactics for Influencing Trump

1 year ago

Ukraine

War

US Foreign Policy

White House Request Sees Zelensky Trade Military Garb for Suit at Trump Meeting

1 year ago

Middle East

War

Politics

Hamas Reply Said to Mirror 98% of Israel-Accepted Whitkoff Plan

1 year ago

US Elections

Politics

Democrats Test Populist Playbook Ahead of 2028 White House Race

1 year ago

Executive Orders

Economics

Politics

Trump Accelerates Push to Let 401(k)s Invest in Private Equity

1 year ago

Will Pete Hegseth be appointed to the Tennessee US Senate Seat?

Oct 22, 8:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5.47%chance

133332

OptionVotes

YES

4198

493

Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030

Feb 14, 1:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.33%chance

182193

OptionVotes

YES

2200

722

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1260

Will Substack implement an automatic AI-generated-content filter by EoY 2026?

Aug 2, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.07%chance

81347

OptionVotes

YES

1562

640

Will "On The Independence Axiom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 10, 2:43 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

43.71%chance

81287

OptionVotes

YES

1244

261

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Oct 4, 12:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.05%chance

6804

OptionVotes

YES

764

Axiom of Choice stock

Apr 2, 7:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.31%chance

20526

OptionVotes

YES

1328

823

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

Dec 2, 6:23 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

7.95%chance

8288

OptionVotes

YES

340

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Jul 20, 6:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.3%chance

7266

OptionVotes

YES

149

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

1061

942

When will Reflection AI release its first open-weight model?

Oct 5, 10:04 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

481

OptionProbability

Oct 13 to Oct 19

By Oct 12, 2026

Oct 20 to Oct 31

Nov 1 to Nov 15

Not by Nov 15, 2026

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Oct 27, 8:14 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.52%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

111

108

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Will Pete Hegseth be appointed to the Tennessee US Senate Seat?

Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Will Substack implement an automatic AI-generated-content filter by EoY 2026?

Will "On The Independence Axiom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Axiom of Choice stock

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

When will Reflection AI release its first open-weight model?

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Latest stories

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