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Tech Founder Ethan Agarwal Enters 2026 California Governor Race

8 months ago

Clinton Warns Supreme Court May Overturn Same-Sex Marriage

US Judiciary

Politics

Clinton Warns Supreme Court May Overturn Same-Sex Marriage

9 months ago

Latin America

Venezuela

US Foreign Policy

US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

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Axios Lists 11 Tested Tactics for Influencing Trump

9 months ago

Ukraine

War

US Foreign Policy

White House Request Sees Zelensky Trade Military Garb for Suit at Trump Meeting

9 months ago

Middle East

War

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Hamas Reply Said to Mirror 98% of Israel-Accepted Whitkoff Plan

9 months ago

US Elections

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Democrats Test Populist Playbook Ahead of 2028 White House Race

9 months ago

Executive Orders

Economics

Politics

Trump Accelerates Push to Let 401(k)s Invest in Private Equity

9 months ago

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.85%chance

785394

OptionVotes

YES

222

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.74%chance

244278

OptionVotes

YES

2405

416

Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030

Feb 14, 1:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.33%chance

182193

OptionVotes

YES

2200

722

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1260

Will "On The Independence Axiom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 10, 2:43 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

43%chance

71282

OptionVotes

YES

1239

267

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Oct 4, 12:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.05%chance

6804

OptionVotes

YES

764

Will fermats last theorem be formalized in lean down to the axiom in 5 years.

Feb 14, 6:58 PMFeb 28, 6:29 PM

59.73%chance

20779

OptionVotes

YES

255

168

Axiom of Choice stock

Apr 2, 7:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.31%chance

20526

OptionVotes

YES

1328

823

Will musicians and bands unionize before 2030?

Oct 14, 4:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.68%chance

10189

OptionVotes

YES

209

188

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

1061

942

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Oct 27, 8:14 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.52%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

111

108

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

Dec 2, 6:23 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

33.19%chance

468

OptionVotes

YES

142

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Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Will "On The Independence Axiom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Will fermats last theorem be formalized in lean down to the axiom in 5 years.

Axiom of Choice stock

Will musicians and bands unionize before 2030?

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

Latest stories

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