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Top stories

CFTC Clarifies FBOT Rules, Opening U.S. Access to Offshore Crypto Exchanges

CFTC Clarifies FBOT Rules, Opening U.S. Access to Offshore Crypto Exchanges

Authors

32

11 months ago

FEMA Suspends Dozens of Staff After Letter Warns of Katrina-Scale Disaster

US Domestic Policy

Natural Disasters

FEMA Suspends Dozens of Staff After Letter Warns of Katrina-Scale Disaster

Authors

76

1 year ago

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

11 months ago

UN Report Says Extreme Heat Threatens 2.4 Billion Workers and Global Output

Authors

15

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Justice Department Abandons Defense of Hispanic-Serving College Grants

Authors

29

1 year ago

US Gov Appointments

BlackRock, Nuveen, Taconic Join 90% PREPA Bondholders Abandoning Debt Deal as Luma Energy Sues Amid Oversight Board Shakeup

Authors

3

1 year ago

Amit Shah Defends India’s 130th Amendment Mandating Resignation for Jailed Leaders Amid Rahul Gandhi’s Vote Theft Claims and Opposition’s JPC Boycott

Authors

3

1 year ago

Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Congress

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

15182771

OptionProbability

Democrats Sweep

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

44

42

13

1

0

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.42%chance

227750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12660

7899

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

42.59%chance

124441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

861

Will Congress pass sweeping deregulatory measures by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.28%chance

241941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1207

829

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will the 120th Congress refuse to seat any members due to a redistricting related dispute?

May 16, 3:01 PMFeb 1, 11:59 AM

30.98%chance

2687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

670

Will Hunter Biden run for US Congress or President during his lifetime?

Jun 5, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.09%chance

13641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

687

Elon Musk testifies before Congress by 2028?

Apr 16, 3:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

62.37%chance

9393

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1287

777

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.43%chance

16281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

920

Will Congress ameliorate the ACA subsidy cliff for the 2026 tax year?

Apr 14, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.61%chance

3255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1441

686

Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?

Jun 11, 10:12 PMJan 3, 11:59 AM

44.23%chance

3123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

890

Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Chicago, IL

New Orleans, LA

St. Louis, MO

Los Angeles, CA

Philadelphia, PA

Boston, MA

San Antonio, TX

Atlanta, GA

Denver, CO

Dallas, TX

Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)

Other

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

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