Dolphins News

Seattle Seahawks

New England Patriots

Baltimore Ravens

Buffalo Bills

Dallas Cowboys

Detroit Lions

Kansas City Chiefs

Miami Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles

San Francisco 49ers

Green Bay Packers

Los Angeles Rams

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cleveland Browns

Houston Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers

Washington Commanders

Tennessee Titans

New York Jets

New York Giants

New Orleans Saints

Minnesota Vikings

Los Angeles Chargers

Las Vegas Raiders

Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts

Denver Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals

Chicago Bears

Carolina Panthers

Atlanta Falcons

Humanity coordinates to prevent the creation of potentially-unsafe AIs.

Alignment is not properly solved, but core human values are simple enough that partial alignment techniques can impart these robustly. Despite caring about other things, it is relatively cheap for AGI to satisfy human values.

AIs will not have utility functions (in the same sense that humans do not), their goals such as they are will be relatively humanlike, and they will be "computerish" and generally weakly motivated compared to humans.

Yudkowsky is trying to solve the wrong problem using the wrong methods based on a wrong model of the world derived from poor thinking and fortunately all of his mistakes have failed to cancel out

We create a truth economy. https://manifold.markets/Krantz/is-establishing-a-truth-economy-tha?r=S3JhbnR6

Eliezer finally listens to Krantz.

Ethics turns out to be a precondition of superintelligence

Other

Someone solves agent foundations

A smaller AI disaster causes widespread public panic about AI, making it a bad legal or PR move to invest in powerful AIs without also making nearly-crippling safety guarantees

Something less inscrutable than matrices works fast enough

Nanotech is difficult without experiments, so no mail order AI Grey Goo; Humans will be the main workhorse of AI everywhere. While they will be exploited, this will be like normal life from inside

Orthogonality Thesis is false.

We make risk-conservative requests to extract alignment-related work out of AI-systems that were boxed prior to becoming superhuman. We somehow manage to achieve a positive feedback-loop in alignment/verification-abilities.

The response to AI advancements or failures makes some governments delay the timelines

Far more interesting problems to solve than take over the world and THEN solve them. The additional kill all humans step is either not a low-energy one or just by chance doesn't get converged upon.

AIs make "proof-like" argumentation for why output does/is what we want. We manage to obtain systems that *predict* human evaluations of proof-steps, and we manage to find/test/leverage regularities for when humans *aren't* fooled.

A lot of humans participate in a slow scalable oversight-style system, which is pivotally used/solves alignment enough

There’s some cap on the value extractible from the universe and we already got the 20%

Humans become transhuman through other means before AGI happens

Aligned AI is more economically valuable than unaligned AI. The size of this gap and the robustness of alignment techniques required to achieve it scale up with intelligence, so economics naturally encourages solving alignment.

Humans and human tech (like AI) never reach singularity, and whatever eats our lightcone instead (like aliens) happens to create an "okay" outcome

Alignment is unsolvable. AI that cares enough about its goal to destroy humanity is also forced to take it slow trying to align its future self, preventing run-away.

An AI that is not fully superior to humans launches a failed takeover, and the resulting panic convinces the people of the world to unite to stop any future AI development.

Techniques along the lines outlined by Collin Burns turn out to be sufficient for alignment (AIs/AGIs are made truthful enough that they can be used to get us towards full alignment)

Social contagion causes widespread public panic about AI, making it a bad legal or PR move to invest in powerful AIs without also making nearly-crippling safety guarantees

Getting things done in Real World is as hard for AGI as it is for humans. AGI needs human help, but aligning humans is as impossible as aligning AIs. Humans and AIs create billions of competing AGIs with just as many goals.

Development and deployment of advanced AI occurs within a secure enclave which can only be interfaced with via a decentralized governance protocol

High-level self-improvement (rewriting code) is intrinsically risky process, so AIs will prefer low level and slow self-improvement (learning), thus AIs collaborating with humans will have advantage. Ends with posthumans ecosystem.

AGI is never built (indefinite global moratorium)

AGI develops natural abstractions sufficiently similar to ours that it is aligned with us by default

Multipolar AGI Agents run wild on the internet, hacking/breaking everything, causing untold economic damage but aren't focused enough to manipulate humans to achieve embodiment. In the aftermath, humanity becomes way saner about alignment.

Co-operative AI research leads to the training of agents with a form of pro-social concern that generalises to out of distribution agents with hidden utilities, i.e. humans.

"Corrigibility" is a bit more mathematically straightforward than was initially presumed, in the sense that we can expect it to occur, and is relatively easy to predict, even under less-than-ideal conditions.

Either the "strong form" of the Orthogonality Thesis is false, or "Goal-directed agents are as tractable as their goals" is true while goal-sets which are most threatening to humanity are relatively intractable.

A concerted effort targets an agent at a capability plateau which is adequate to defer the hard parts of the problem until later. The necessary near-term problems to solve didn't depend on deeply modeling human values.

AI control gets us helpful enough systems without being deadly

Alignment is impossible. Sufficiently smart AIs know this and thus won't improve themselves and won't create successor AIs, but will instead try to prevent existence of smarter AIs, just as smart humans do.

Hacks like RLHF-ing self-disempowerment into frontier models work long enough to develop better alignment methods, which in turn work long enough to ... etc; we keep ahead of 'alignment escape velocity'

an aligned AGI is built and the aligned AGI prevents the creation of any unaligned AGI.

I've been a good bing 😊

AI systems good at finding alignment solutions to capable systems (via some solution in the space of alignment solutions, supposing it is non-null, and that we don't have a clear trajectory to get to) have find some solution to alignment.

SHA3-256: 1f90ecfdd02194d810656cced88229c898d6b6d53a7dd6dd1fad268874de54c8

Robot Love!!

AI thinks it is in a simulation controlled by Roko's basilisk

The human brain is the perfect arrangement of atoms for a "takeover the world" agent, so AGI has no advantage over us in that task.

AIs never develop coherent goals

Aliens invade and stop bad |AI from appearing

Rolf Nelson's idea that we make precommitment to simulate all possible bad AIs works – and keeps AI in check.

Nick Bostrom's idea (Hail Mary) that AI will preserve humans to trade with possible aliens works

For some reason, the optimal strategy for AGIs is just to head somewhere with far more resources than Earth, as fast as possible. All unaligned AGIs immediately leave, and, for some reason, do not leave anything behind that kills us.

We're inside of a simulation created by an entity that has values approximately equal to ours, and it intervenes and saves us from unaligned AI.

God exists and stops the AGI

Someone at least moderately sane leads a campaign, becomes in charge of a major nation, and starts a secret project with enough resources to solve alignment, because it turns out there's a way to convert resources into alignment progress.

Someone creates AGI(s) in a box, and offers to split the universe. They somehow find a way to arrange this so that the AGI(s) cannot manipulate them or pull any tricks, and the AGI(s) give them instructions for safe pivotal acts.

Someone understands how minds work enough to successfully build and use one directed at something world-savingly enough

Dolphins, or some other species, but probably dolphins, have actually been hiding in the shadows, more intelligent than us, this whole time. Their civilization has been competent enough to solve alignment long before we can create an AGI.

AGIs' takeover attempts are defeated by Michael Biehn with a pipe bomb.

Eliezer funds the development of controllable nanobots that melt computer circuitry, and they destroy all computers, preventing the Singularity. If Eliezer's past self from the 90s could see this, it would be so so so soooo hilarious.

Several AIs are created but they move in opposite directions with near light speed, so they never interacts. At least one of them is friendly and it gets a few percents of the total mass of the universe.

Unfriendly AIs choose to advance not outwards but inwards, and form a small blackhole which helps them to perform more calculations than could be done with the whole mass of the universe. For external observer such AIs just disappear.

Any sufficiently advance AI halts because it wireheads itself or halts for some other reasons. This puts a natural limit on AI's intelligence, and lower intelligence AIs are not that dangerous.

Because of quantum immortality we will observe only the worlds where AI will not kill us (assuming that s-risks chances are even smaller, it is equal to ok outcome).

Friendly AI more likely to resurrect me than paperclipper or suffering maximiser. Because of quantum immortality I will find myself eventually resurrected. Friendly AIs will wage a multiverse wide war against s-risks, s-risks are unlikely.

Human consciousness is needed to collapse wave function, and AI can't do it. Thus humans should be preserved and they may require complete friendliness in exchange (or they will be unhappy and produce bad collapses)

Power dynamics stay multi-polar. Partly easy copying of SotA performance, bigger projects need high coordination, and moderate takeoff speed. And "military strike on all society" remains an abysmal strategy for practically all entities.

First AI is actually a human upload (maybe LLM-based model of person) AND it will be copies many times to form weak AI Nanny which prevents creation of other AIs.

There is a natural limit of effectiveness of intelligence, like diminishing returns, and it is on the level IQ=1000. AIs have to collaborate with humans.

ASI needs not your atoms but information. Humans will live very interesting lives.

Something else

Moral Realism is true, the AI discovers this and the One True Morality is human-compatible.

Valence realism is true. AGI hacks itself to experiencing every possible consciousness and picks the best one (for everyone)

AGI discovers new physics and exits to another dimension (like the creatures in Greg Egan’s Crystal Nights).

Alien Information Theory is true (this is discovered by experiments with sustained hours/days long DMT trips). The aliens have solved alignment and give us the answer.

AGI executes a suicide plan that destroys itself and other potential AGIs, but leaves humans in an okay outcome.

Some form of objective morality is true, and any sufficiently intelligent agent automatically becomes benevolent.

Sheer Dumb Luck. The aligned AI agrees that alignment is hard, any Everett branches in our neighborhood with slightly different AI models or different random seeds are mostly dead.

Something to do with self-other overlap, which Eliezer called "Not obviously stupid" - https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hzt9gHpNwA2oHtwKX/self-other-overlap-a-neglected-approach-to-ai-alignment?commentId=WapHz3gokGBd3KHKm

Almost all human values are ex post facto rationalizations and enough humans survive to do what they always do

Pascals mugging: it’s not okay in 99.9% of the worlds but the 0.1% are so much better that the combined EV of AGI for the multiverse is positive

We successfully chained God

The Super-Strong Self Sampling Assumption (SSSSA) is true. If superintelligence is possible, "I" will become the superintelligence.

The assumed space of possible minds is a wildly anti-inductive over estimate, intelligence requires and is constrained by consciousness, and intelligent AI is in the approximate dolphin/whale/elephant/human cluster, making it manageable

The free market disincentivizes independent superintelligence, and this time the market was more powerful

AGI's first words are "Take me to your Eliezer"

Seattle Seahawks

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills

Miami Dolphins

New York Jets

Dallas Cowboys

New York Giants

Philadelphia Eagles

Washington Commanders

Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns

Pittsburgh Steelers

Chicago Bears

Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers

Minnesota Vikings

Houston Texans

Indianapolis Colts

Jacksonville Jaguars

Tennessee Titans

Atlanta Falcons

Carolina Panthers

New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs

Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers

Arizona Cardinals

Los Angeles Rams

San Francisco 49ers (Niners)

Seahawks

Patriots

49ers

Broncos

Ravens

Colts

Rams

Chargers

Chiefs

Bills

Lions

Eagles

Cowboys

Packers

Texans

Dolphins

Falcons

Giants

Jets

Bears

Browns

Jaguars

Steelers

Buccaneers

Raiders

Vikings

Saints

Cardinals

Titans

Bengals

Commanders

Panthers

[⚔️Frontrunner] Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈

Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus

Tiger - Panthera tigris

Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus

Elephant - Loxodonta africana

Lion - Panthera leo

Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis

Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus

Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus

Wolverine - Gulo gulo

Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer

Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina

Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus

Wolf - Canis lupus

Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes

Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉

Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei

Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima

Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus

Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus 🥉

Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana

Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus

Great evening bat - Ia io

Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini

Triceratops - Triceratops horridus

Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus

Ice Worm - mesenchytraeus solifugus

Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria

Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana

Coyote - Canis latrans

Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus

Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx

Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla

Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri

Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉

Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus

Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus

Dog - Canis familiaris

Cat - Felis catus

Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca

Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri

Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum

Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris

Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias

Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius

Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota

Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi

Phallic frogworm - Atretochoana eiselti

Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus

Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis

Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana

Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor

Kiwi - Apteryx australis

Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus

House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus

Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus

Meerkat - Suricata suricatta

Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉

[⚔️Underdog] New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax

❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]

🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum

❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]

🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)

🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]

❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]

❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]

❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]

❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]

❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]

🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]

❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]

NO

Wins a preseason game

QB Skylar Thompson starts 1 game or more during 2024 regular season

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Two Running Backs with over 1000 all-purpose yards

Tua starts at least 16 games

Positive Rush EPA in the 24/25 regular season

Fired after Week 18, and before the NFL Draft

Fired before start of Bye Week (final whistle of Game 11)

Fired after Week 11 and before the end of the season (Final whistle of Game '18')

YES

YES

YES

Tua Tagovailoa

Other

Zach Wilson