GOP News

Vice President JD Vance Leads 2028 GOP Primary by 34 Points With 46% Support, Surpasses Trump Jr. in Emerson Poll

1 month ago

WSJ Poll Shows Economic Optimism at 4-Year High, Lifting Trump

US Elections

Economics

Politics

WSJ Poll Shows Economic Optimism at 4-Year High, Lifting Trump

7 days ago

If the GOP win a trifecta, will the Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break legislative filibuster before Sept '25?

Aug 12, 1:17 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM

12.72%chance

355433

OptionVotes

YES

2619

382

The next time the GOP nominates someone besides Donald Trump, they will win the presidency

Nov 5, 6:57 PMNov 13, 4:59 AM

34.3%chance

61419

OptionVotes

YES

1384

723

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:47 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

2.24%chance

101413

OptionVotes

YES

1280

Will independent analysis confirm the GOP's report that 10%-27% of NSF grants now prioritize DEI-related qualities?

Oct 10, 8:18 PMOct 11, 3:59 AM

161065

OptionProbability

Yes, >10% (2021-2024) and >25% (Jan-Apr '24)

Yes, >10% (2021-2024) but not >25% (Jan-Apr '24)

No, reanalysis will not show this

Reanalysis will never happen

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:48 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

8.07%chance

12589

OptionVotes

YES

632

122

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:43 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

16.39%chance

12472

OptionVotes

YES

233

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:45 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

11.15%chance

12412

OptionVotes

YES

469

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

59.7%chance

12390

OptionVotes

YES

1217

822

Will Will Stancil be a member of the GOP within 5 years?

Oct 23, 9:14 PMOct 31, 6:59 AM

9.62%chance

6283

OptionVotes

YES

303

109

Will the GOP try to pull the U.S. out of NATO by 2027?

Nov 8, 8:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18%chance

2238

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

56.06%chance

9119

OptionVotes

YES

1029

958

Will the trend towards economic populism in the GOP reverse?

Apr 9, 12:51 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

42.85%chance

689

OptionVotes

YES

170

131

Latest stories

Jul 26, 2025
Jul 26, 2025
US Elections
Economics
Politics
WSJ Poll Shows Economic Optimism at 4-Year High, Lifting Trump
Authors
10
7 days ago
Jun 30, 2025
Jun 30, 2025
US Elections
Prediction Markets
Politics
Vice President JD Vance Leads 2028 GOP Primary by 34 Points With 46% Support, Surpasses Trump Jr. in Emerson Poll
Authors
38
1 month ago

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If the GOP win a trifecta, will the Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break legislative filibuster before Sept '25?

The next time the GOP nominates someone besides Donald Trump, they will win the presidency

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Will independent analysis confirm the GOP's report that 10%-27% of NSF grants now prioritize DEI-related qualities?

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Will Will Stancil be a member of the GOP within 5 years?

Will the GOP try to pull the U.S. out of NATO by 2027?

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Will the trend towards economic populism in the GOP reverse?

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