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Top stories

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Authors

41

10 months ago

James Yokeley, North Carolina GOP Election Official, Resigns After Allegedly Spiking Granddaughters’ Ice Cream With Cocaine and MDMA

James Yokeley, North Carolina GOP Election Official, Resigns After Allegedly Spiking Granddaughters’ Ice Cream With Cocaine and MDMA

Authors

9

10 months ago

Former Yankees All-Star Mark Teixeira Enters Texas Congressional Race

Former Yankees All-Star Mark Teixeira Enters Texas Congressional Race

Authors

24

10 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

10 months ago

Texas GOP Candidate Valentina Gomez Burns Quran with Flamethrower, Vows to End Islam, Tells Muslims to Leave

Authors

16

10 months ago

US Domestic Policy

DeSantis Says Florida Will Redraw Congressional Map in Spring 2026

Authors

6

10 months ago

Texas Rep. Collier Halts Video Call After GOP Warns of Bathroom Felony

Authors

13

10 months ago

Musk Disputes WSJ Report He’s Shelving America Party Plans

Authors

109

10 months ago

Prediction markets for GOP

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84%chance

2914019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2291

436

Will groypers win over the GOP before 2033?

Nov 5, 8:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

153261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

650

The next time the GOP nominates someone besides Donald Trump, they will win the presidency

Nov 5, 6:57 PMNov 13, 4:59 AM

34.3%chance

61419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1384

723

Will Trump effectively control policy of a future, 2029-2033 GoP president?

Aug 26, 6:19 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

28.67%chance

71175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1577

634

GOP share of senate seats after 2026 midterms? (Resolves to %)

Jan 9, 3:03 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

48.31%chance

91100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

105

Trump endorses the eventual winner of the 2028 GOP presidential nomination

Feb 12, 8:13 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

66.75%chance

13890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1417

706

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93%chance

5801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

101

How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?

Oct 25, 12:46 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

10726

OptionProbability

2

3

4

0

1

5

29

29

16

11

8

6

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:43 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

12.17%chance

13522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

283

50

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

67.14%chance

10419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

844

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

939

How many VRA districts will the GOP flip in 2026?

May 12, 4:54 AMMay 13, 3:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

Latest stories

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
Texas
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Former Yankees All-Star Mark Teixeira Enters Texas Congressional Race
Authors
24
10 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Crime
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Aug 28, 2025
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Aug 26, 2025
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8
10 months ago

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