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Meta Platforms News

    Prediction markets for Meta Platforms

    Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

    Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM
    3216476

    OptionProbability

    Apple

    Microsoft

    Alphabet (Google)

    Amazon

    NVIDIA

    TSMC

    SpaceX

    Anthropic

    Saudi Aramco

    Meta Platforms (Facebook)

    Broadcom

    Tesla

    Samsung

    Micron Technology

    Eli Lilly

    Berkshire Hathaway

    Visa

    JPMorgan Chase

    United Health

    Novo Nordisk

    Walmart

    Tencent

    Oracle

    99

    99

    99

    99

    99

    95

    90

    68

    62

    57

    51

    46

    11

    9

    7

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

    Dec 29, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3516254

    OptionProbability

    Micron Technology (MU)

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

    Chevron (CVX)

    ExxonMobil (XOM)

    Merck & Co. (MRK)

    Apple (AAPL)

    Applied Materials (AMAT)

    Coca-Cola (KO)

    Cisco (CSCO)

    Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

    Philip Morris (PM)

    Costco (COST)

    Alphabet Class C (GOOG)

    Lam Research (LRCX)

    UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

    Amazon (AMZN)

    Walmart (WMT)

    Citigroup (C)

    Alphabet Class A (GOOGL)

    Broadcom (AVGO)

    Nvidia (NVDA)

    Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

    Procter & Gamble (PG)

    Morgan Stanley (MS)

    Microsoft (MSFT)

    Meta Platforms (META)

    Caterpillar (CAT)

    Eli Lilly (LLY)

    Goldman Sachs (GS)

    Visa (V)

    AbbVie (ABBV)

    JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

    Bank of America (BAC)

    RTX Corporation (RTX)

    GE Aerospace (GE)

    Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

    Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)

    Mastercard (MA)

    Salesforce (CRM)

    Home Depot (HD)

    IBM (IBM)

    Tesla (TSLA)

    T-Mobile US (TMUS)

    Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

    Wells Fargo (WFC)

    Oracle (ORCL)

    American Express (AXP)

    Netflix (NFLX)

    McDonald's (MCD)

    AppLovin (APP)

    99

    97

    93

    92

    91

    88

    88

    87

    84

    83

    81

    79

    75

    75

    72

    59

    49

    48

    43

    41

    40

    39

    39

    39

    38

    38

    37

    36

    34

    31

    30

    28

    26

    24

    23

    23

    20

    20

    18

    12

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    7

    7

    6

    6

    3

    Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

    Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
    82247

    OptionProbability

    KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections)

    Ryan v. FTC (Non-compete ban case)

    United States v. Sam Bankman-Fried

    Clarke v. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (PredictIt Case)

    U.S. and Plaintiff States v. Google LLC (Google antitrust case)

    Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon antitrust case)

    U.S and Plaintiff States v. Apple Inc. (Apple antitrust case)

    United States v. Binance Holdings (charges against Binance for iolating several laws, including the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act)

    Federal Trade Commission v. Microsoft Corp. and Activision Blizzard, Inc (Attempt to block Microsoft's merger/acquisition of Activision Blizzard)

    United States v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (Meta antitrust case)

    TikTok Inc. v. Merrick Garland (TikTok Ban)

    United States v. Skrmetti (ban on transgender health care for minors)

    Food and Drug Administration v. Wages and White Lion Investments, LLC (E-cigarette supreme court case)

    100

    100

    58

    50

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    0

    0

    0

    Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027?

    Jun 23, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    41.48%chance
    232238

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1188

    842

    Meta platforms market cap at end of 2026

    Aug 17, 7:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    61488

    OptionProbability

    1T<= x <1.5T

    1.5T<= x <2T

    2T<= x <2.5T

    <1T

    >=2.5T

    39

    39

    11

    7

    3

    Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?

    Feb 27, 3:47 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
    10902

    OptionProbability

    Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META)

    Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN)

    Google/Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG)

    Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)

    31

    26

    18

    15

    Meta's prediction platform PROP BETS.

    Jun 23, 7:54 PMDec 31, 8:48 PM
    7568

    OptionProbability

    Meta's prediction market platform will flop.

    Meta will integrate prediction markets into Facebook or Instagram

    Meta will launch a standalone prediction market app by end of 2026

    51

    49

    42

    Will Mark Zuckerberg cease to be CEO of Meta before 2030?

    Nov 1, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    39.6%chance
    15555

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1163

    838

    Will AI-generated content be banned or clearly labeled by at least one major social platform (Meta, X, TikTok,YouTube)?

    Jan 1, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    92.7%chance
    10464

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    356

    28

    Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

    Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM
    72%chance
    14346

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1091

    949

    Which of the following companies will be in the top 20 companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1st 2050?

    Jan 28, 4:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    11157

    OptionProbability

    Microsoft

    NVIDIA

    Alphabet (Google)

    TSMC

    Apple

    Samsung Electronics

    ASML Holding

    Tesla

    Amazon

    Tencent

    Broadcom

    Alibaba

    BYD Company

    Saudi Aramco

    Meta Platforms (Facebook)

    Reliance Industries

    Berkshire Hathaway

    Exxon Mobil

    Mastercard

    Johnson & Johnson

    JPMorgan Chase

    UnitedHealth Group

    Industrial and Commercial Bank of China

    Visa

    Walmart

    60

    58

    55

    55

    52

    52

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    45

    45

    41

    41

    40

    40

    38

    38

    38

    31

    31

    Meta Platforms Inc. (META)

    Apr 6, 1:17 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM
    367

    OptionProbability

    YES

    NO

    94

    84

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