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Prediction markets for NBC
OptionVotes
2587
387
Will there be an attempted physical assault on anyone working for DOGE?
Feb 3, 5:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.9%chance
494089
OptionVotes
1835
545
OptionProbability
55
28
11
3
2
OptionProbability
41
38
36
34
32
30
30
30
30
28
25
25
21
21
20
18
13
13
12
OptionProbability
82
77
76
76
68
64
64
59
58
51
43
31
23
23
23
22
Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
92178
OptionProbability
100
100
71
68
68
68
66
59
56
56
49
49
49
48
48
44
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
39
37
37
36
35
35
34
33
33
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
27
At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026
Jan 21, 6:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM
54.98%chance
121952
OptionVotes
1105
905
OptionProbability
80
79
76
76
73
72
71
66
59
54
48
28
25
24
24
22
OptionProbability
78
77
77
76
76
76
50
50
45
44
42
39
27
24
24
23
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
26.23%chance
261269
OptionVotes
1408
785
Who will be the next executive producer of Saturday Night Live on NBC, following Lorne Michaels?
Nov 18, 6:22 AMDec 29, 5:59 AM
11383
OptionProbability
56
21
13
7
1
1
1
OptionProbability
48
30
7
7
7
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