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NBC News

    Prediction markets for NBC

    Will Iran try to assassinate Trump?

    Feb 4, 10:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    13%chance
    186263

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2587

    387

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1835

    545

    Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

    Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM
    333999

    OptionProbability

    R Senate, D House

    Democrats Sweep

    Republicans Sweep

    D Senate, R House

    Other

    55

    28

    11

    3

    2

    Who has received USAID funding?

    Feb 5, 5:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    123398

    OptionProbability

    Reuters

    The Washington Post

    NBC

    Associated Press

    NPR

    MSNBC

    The Wall Street Journal

    Axios

    Wired

    CNN

    Environmental Defense Fund

    The Trump Organization

    The New York Times

    Wikimedia Foundation

    Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

    Sierra Club

    Black Lives Matter

    Greenpeace

    Hamas

    41

    38

    36

    34

    32

    30

    30

    30

    30

    28

    25

    25

    21

    21

    20

    18

    13

    13

    12

    (Week 1) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

    May 15, 1:27 AMSep 8, 11:59 PM
    253352

    OptionProbability

    Cardinals beat Saints (09/07) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Buccaneers beat Falcons (09/07) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Bengals beat Browns (09/07) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Lions beat Packers (09/07) 4:25 PM (CBS)

    49ers beat Seahawks (09/07) 4:05 PM (FOX)

    Chiefs beat Chargers (09/05) 8:00 PM (YouTube)

    Steelers beat Jets (09/07) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Vikings beat Bears (09/08) 8:15 PM (ESPN)

    Dolphins beat Colts (09/07) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Ravens beat Bills (09/07) 8:20 PM (NBC)

    Raiders beat Patriots (09/07) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Texans beat Rams (09/07) 4:25 PM (CBS)

    Cowboys beat Eagles (09/04) 8:20 PM (NBC/Peacock)

    Giants beat Commanders (09/07) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Panthers beat Jaguars (09/07) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Titans beat Broncos (09/07) 4:05 PM (FOX)

    82

    77

    76

    76

    68

    64

    64

    59

    58

    51

    43

    31

    23

    23

    23

    22

    OptionProbability

    John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    James Comey – Former FBI Director

    James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

    Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

    Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

    Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

    Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

    John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

    Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

    Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

    Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

    John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

    Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

    Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

    Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

    Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

    Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

    Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

    Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

    Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

    Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

    Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

    Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

    Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

    James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

    Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

    Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

    Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

    Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

    Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

    Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

    Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

    Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

    Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

    Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

    Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

    Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

    Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

    Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

    Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

    Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

    Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

    Joe Biden – President of the United States

    Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

    Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

    Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

    John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

    Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

    Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

    Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

    Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

    Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

    Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

    Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

    Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

    100

    100

    71

    68

    68

    68

    66

    59

    56

    56

    49

    49

    49

    48

    48

    44

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    39

    37

    37

    36

    35

    35

    34

    33

    33

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    27

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1105

    905

    (Week 2) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

    May 15, 1:36 AMSep 16, 1:34 AM
    91778

    OptionProbability

    Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    San Francisco 49ers beat New Orleans Saints (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Los Angeles Rams beat Tennessee Titans (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Denver Broncos beat Indianapolis Colts (09/14) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    Atlanta Falcons beat Minnesota Vikings (09/14) 8:20 PM (NBC)

    Los Angeles Chargers beat Las Vegas Raiders (09/15) 10:00 PM (ESPN)

    New England Patriots beat Miami Dolphins (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Washington Commanders beat Green Bay Packers (09/11) 8:15 PM (Prime)

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Houston Texans (09/15) 7:00 PM (ABC/ESPN)

    Seattle Seahawks beat Pittsburgh Steelers (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs (09/14) 4:25 PM (FOX)

    New York Giants beat Dallas Cowboys (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Carolina Panthers beat Arizona Cardinals (09/14) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cincinnati Bengals (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Chicago Bears beat Detroit Lions (09/14) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Cleveland Browns beat Baltimore Ravens (09/14) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    80

    79

    76

    76

    73

    72

    71

    66

    59

    54

    48

    28

    25

    24

    24

    22

    (Week 3) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

    May 16, 1:07 AMSep 23, 1:05 AM
    111611

    OptionProbability

    Green Bay Packers beat Cleveland Browns (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Indianapolis Colts beat Tennessee Titans (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Kansas City Chiefs beat New York Jets (09/21) 8:20 PM (NBC)

    Cincinnati Bengals beat Minnesota Vikings (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Atlanta Falcons beat Carolina Panthers (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Houston Texans beat Jacksonville Jaguars (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Denver Broncos beat Los Angeles Chargers (09/21) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    Detroit Lions beat Baltimore Ravens (09/22) 8:15 PM (ABC/ESPN)

    Dallas Cowboys beat Chicago Bears (09/21) 4:25 PM (FOX)

    Pittsburgh Steelers beat New England Patriots (09/21) 1:00 PM (CBS)

    Los Angeles Rams beat Philadelphia Eagles (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    Arizona Cardinals beat San Francisco 49ers (09/21) 4:25 PM (FOX)

    Las Vegas Raiders beat Washington Commanders (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    New York Giants beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers (09/21) 1:00 PM (FOX)

    New Orleans Saints beat Seattle Seahawks (09/21) 4:05 PM (CBS)

    Miami Dolphins beat Buffalo Bills (09/18) 8:15 PM (Prime Video)

    78

    77

    77

    76

    76

    76

    50

    50

    45

    44

    42

    39

    27

    24

    24

    23

    OptionProbability

    Tina Fey

    Other

    Seth Meyers

    Colin Jost

    Jimmy Fallon

    Jeff Zucker

    Amy Poehler

    56

    21

    13

    7

    1

    1

    1

    How much will NBC pay Ronna McDaniel?

    Apr 4, 5:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    573

    OptionProbability

    $1-599K

    $600K

    $0

    $601K-1M

    >$1M

    48

    30

    7

    7

    7

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