NHTSA News
Top stories
Prediction markets for NHTSA
How many US states will legally block Waymo or Tesla Robotaxi as of Dec 31, 2027?
Oct 1, 1:58 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM
6490
OptionProbability
61
43
36
17
Will Waymo still have serious problems with flooded streets in 2027?
May 22, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.99%chance
5297
OptionVotes
1174
961
Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?
Sep 8, 1:49 AMMay 5, 11:59 PM
92.31%chance
5290
OptionVotes
272
10
Tesla's 2025 CEO Performance Award - Operational Milestones by 2036
Nov 7, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2122
OptionProbability
69
66
50
50
50
50
50
50
38
34
34
34
24
17
Will it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
May 8, 8:02 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
24.79%chance
7117
OptionVotes
174
57
Latest stories
Latest stories






