PL News

Brazilian Senate Approves 'Projeto de Lei de Adultização' to Protect Children Online, Prohibits Bail for Pedophilia

3 months ago

São Paulo Police Arrest 22-Year-Old Cayo Lucas for Threatening YouTuber Felca, Linked to Child Exploitation; PL Leader Drops Immunity PEC

3 months ago

Brazil

World

Lula Leads 2026 Race with 34%; Bolsonaro Faces STF Review, House Arrest, and Divided Public Opinion

4 months ago

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

49.48%chance

20031592106

OptionVotes

YES

4381

4295

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.59%chance

472396309

OptionVotes

YES

3236

1913

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Apr 9, 1:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.1%chance

194280263

OptionVotes

YES

10838

9495

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.82%chance

85131473

OptionVotes

YES

2810

881

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

7512488

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

55.01%chance

221310

OptionVotes

YES

11058

9043

¿# de curules ganados por el PL en las elecciones de Honduras 2025? # of seats won by the LP in Honduras 2025 elections?

Nov 30, 11:37 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7695

OptionProbability

31-40 curules/seats

41-50 curules/seats

21-30 curules/seats

0-20 curules/seats

51-60 curules/seats

61-70 curules/seats

71+ curules/seats

Will Wrocław [PL] public transit implement AI-based flex routing or DRT by the end of 2035?

Sep 5, 6:50 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.16%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

124

Will Manchester City have the most Premier League titles (currently at 8 based on PL only) in 2101?

Sep 7, 7:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

More Likely: Colts Miss Playoffs or Win AFC

Nov 25, 1:29 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Miss Playoffs

Win AFC

Is The Pipe Plaza run by a frequent user of the Marioverse Discord Sever

Feb 23, 12:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

OptionProbability

Yes

It will stay Unknown throughout 2025

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Brazil
Crime
Politics
São Paulo Police Arrest 22-Year-Old Cayo Lucas for Threatening YouTuber Felca, Linked to Child Exploitation; PL Leader Drops Immunity PEC
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Brazil
Policy
Politics
Brazilian Senate Approves 'Projeto de Lei de Adultização' to Protect Children Online, Prohibits Bail for Pedophilia
Authors
8
3 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Brazil
World
Lula Leads 2026 Race with 34%; Bolsonaro Faces STF Review, House Arrest, and Divided Public Opinion
Authors
5
4 months ago

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Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

¿# de curules ganados por el PL en las elecciones de Honduras 2025? # of seats won by the LP in Honduras 2025 elections?

Will Wrocław [PL] public transit implement AI-based flex routing or DRT by the end of 2035?

Will Manchester City have the most Premier League titles (currently at 8 based on PL only) in 2101?

More Likely: Colts Miss Playoffs or Win AFC

Is The Pipe Plaza run by a frequent user of the Marioverse Discord Sever

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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