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Hill News

    Prediction markets for Hill

    OptionProbability

    Bowers v. Hardwick

    Humphrey's Executor v. United States

    Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the restrictions on the distribution of contraceptives)

    Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the advertisement of contraceptives)

    Brown v. Entertainment Merchants Association

    Locke v. Davey

    Carey v. Population Services International (Might be N/A'ed. See Below)

    The Insular Cases

    Plyler v. Doe

    Nixon v. General Services Administration

    Employment Division v. Smith

    Morrison v. Olson

    Hill v. Colorado

    Arizona v. United States

    Texas v. Johnson

    New York Times v. Sullivan

    United States v. Wong Kim Ark (see note in comments)

    Mapp v. Ohio

    Jacobson v. Massachusetts

    Bivens v. Six Unknown Named Agents

    NLRB v. Noel Canning

    United States v. Nixon

    Griswold v. Connecticut

    Gideon v. Wainwright

    Miranda v. Arizona

    Reynolds v. Sims

    Romer v. Evans

    Obergefell v. Hodges

    Ex parte Young

    Lawrence v. Texas

    Batson v. Kentucky

    Loving v. Virginia

    100

    95

    50

    50

    50

    48

    46

    45

    43

    36

    35

    35

    31

    30

    25

    22

    17

    16

    15

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    6

    6

    6

    6

    3

    2

    OptionProbability

    Shohei Ohtani

    Aaron Judge

    Giannis Antetokounmpo

    Patrick Mahomes

    Joe Burrow

    Jylian Mbappe

    Nikola Jokić

    Viktor Hovland

    Mookie Betts

    Rory McIlroy

    Max Verstappen

    Lamar Jackson

    Erling Haaland

    Jon Rahm

    Karim Benzema

    Furkan Korkmaz

    Giancarlo Stanton

    Tyreek Hill

    Joel Embiid

    Cooper Kupp

    Sidney Crosby

    Neymar

    Alexander Ovechkin

    Tiger Woods

    Stephen Curry

    Mike Trout

    LeBron James

    Kyrie Irving

    CJ McCollum

    Cristiano Ronaldo

    Lionel Messi

    Kevin Durant

    Miguel Cabrera

    Fernando Alonso

    Justin Verlander

    Max Scherzer

    Novak Djokovic

    92

    87

    86

    85

    85

    82

    80

    76

    76

    72

    71

    67

    66

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    43

    43

    41

    40

    38

    34

    34

    34

    30

    29

    27

    24

    24

    16

    10

    7

    OptionProbability

    John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    James Comey – Former FBI Director

    James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

    Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

    Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

    Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

    Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

    Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

    John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

    Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

    John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

    Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

    Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

    Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

    Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

    Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

    Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

    Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

    Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

    Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

    Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

    Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

    Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

    James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

    Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

    Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

    Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

    Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

    Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

    Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

    Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

    Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

    Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

    Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

    Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

    Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

    Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

    Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

    Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

    Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

    Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

    Joe Biden – President of the United States

    Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

    Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

    Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

    Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

    John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

    Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

    Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

    Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

    Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

    Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

    Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

    Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

    Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

    100

    100

    74

    68

    68

    68

    66

    61

    59

    56

    56

    51

    49

    49

    48

    48

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    39

    37

    37

    36

    35

    35

    34

    33

    33

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    27

    OptionProbability

    Beverly Hills Cop

    Kingsman

    Trolls (Dreamworks)

    Austin Powers

    Human Centipede

    Re-Animator

    Blade

    Cars (Disney)

    Riddick

    Guardians of the Galaxy

    Bill and Ted

    Hostel

    Rush Hour

    Big Momma's (House)

    Cabin Fever

    Cloverfield

    Charlie's Angels

    Creepshow

    Daddy Day Care

    Unbreakable / M Night Shyamalan's Eastrail 117 Trilogy

    Meet the Parents / Fockers

    My Big Fat Greek Wedding

    Sharktopus

    Zeitgeist (Documentary)

    Honey I Shrunk the Kids

    Fifty Shades

    Free Willy

    Mighty Ducks

    Oh, God!

    Ace Ventura

    Back to the Future

    Godfather

    Bloodrayne

    100

    83

    72

    62

    56

    50

    47

    40

    40

    38

    37

    35

    35

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    28

    26

    25

    24

    24

    23

    18

    17

    10

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1552

    878

    OptionProbability

    UNC Chapel Hill

    Duke

    UChicago

    Georgetown

    Notre Dame

    Northwestern

    WashU St Louis

    Yale

    UPenn

    Brown

    Columbia

    Vanderbilt

    Harvard

    Princeton

    Dartmouth

    Cornell

    28

    13

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    6

    6

    6

    5

    Will Tyreek Hill beat IShowSpeed when they race?

    Jul 24, 6:31 PMDec 31, 7:29 PM
    83.91%chance
    10501

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    228

    44

    OptionProbability

    Evercore

    Jefferies

    Other

    Campbell Lutyens

    William Blair

    Park Hill

    63

    19

    10

    3

    3

    2

    OptionProbability

    West London Orbital

    Elizabeth line extension to Ebbsfleet

    Bakerloo line extension to Lewisham

    Thames Wharf DLR station

    DLR extension to Thamesmead

    Elizabeth line extension to Staines

    Sutton Link tram line

    Surrey Canal Road Overground station

    Croxley Rail Link

    Northern line extension to Clapham Junction

    Castle Green Overground station

    Central line extension to Harlow

    Victoria line extension to Herne Hill

    Crossrail 2

    76

    68

    66

    66

    56

    50

    50

    50

    38

    36

    24

    20

    20

    6

    Which novella will win a Hugo award in 2025

    Apr 7, 5:03 AMAug 15, 11:59 PM
    125

    OptionProbability

    Tusks of Extinction - Ray Nayler

    The Brides of High Hill - Nghi Vo

    Navigational Entanglements - Aliette de Bodard

    The Butcher of the Forest - Premee Mohamed

    The Practice, The Horizon, and the Chain - Sofia Samatar

    What Feasts at Night - T. Kingfisher

    22

    16

    16

    16

    16

    16

    Will McGraw hill IPO before the end of Halloween?

    Jul 1, 4:25 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM
    50%chance
    112

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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