The Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (CIS) polling agency has reported fluctuating voter intentions for Spain's major political parties amid recent political scandals. In mid-June 2025, the CIS survey showed the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) leading the People's Party (PP) by seven points, with PSOE polling at 34.3% and PP at 27.3%, despite controversies surrounding figures such as Leire Díez and fiscal García Ortiz. However, by early July 2025, the emergence of the 'Caso Cerdán' scandal caused a sharp decline in PSOE support, dropping by approximately 7.3 points, bringing the party's lead over the PP to a narrow margin of about half a percentage point. Concurrently, the far-right Vox party experienced a surge in support, reaching nearly 19% according to the CIS. The PP's support slightly decreased but remained competitive. Regional polls also reflected these dynamics, with the PSOE winning in Castilla y León with 30.7% against PP's 24%. In Andalusia, the PP, led by Juanma Moreno, was projected to secure a majority with a 22-point lead over the PSOE, according to a regional CIS survey. These polling trends highlight shifting voter preferences influenced by ongoing political controversies and regional electoral dynamics.
Moreno reeditaría la mayoría absoluta con 22 puntos más que el PSOE, mientras solo crecen la ultraderecha y la izquierda, según el 'CIS andaluz' https://t.co/2q1gNnRrOL
El popular Juanma Moreno reeditaría la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía con 22 puntos más que el PSOE, según el CIS andaluz. https://t.co/w2lamdcm67 https://t.co/JwrRcJxsH7
🗳️ El PP repite mayoría absoluta en Andalucía, según un sondeo de la Junta, que le da casi 22 puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE https://t.co/AX9tVpX3v6