President Donald Trump stated that he has heard Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell plans to cut interest rates in September 2025. Following this, market sentiment has shifted significantly, with traders and investors increasingly pricing in a rate cut. The probability of a September rate reduction has risen sharply, reaching around 89% according to recent market data, up from 62% the previous week. This shift comes amid revised U.S. job growth figures for May and June, which were lowered by 258,000 jobs, contributing to expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy. U.S. stock futures responded positively to these developments, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures up by 0.4% and the Dow futures rising 0.3%, reflecting a broader risk-on rally. Analysts note that the potential rate cut is driven more by disappointing employment data than by political pressure from Trump. The market's growing anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut has helped stocks recover losses incurred from the weak jobs report and recent tariff increases.
US stocks open higher, regaining lost ground made on weak jobs report and new tariff rates https://t.co/2CDkjcPor5
🏦 🇺🇸 La Fed pourrait enfin baisser ses taux en septembre. Une nouvelle due davantage aux chiffres de l’emploi qu’à la pression exercée par Donald Trump sur l’institution et son président depuis des mois. ✍️ Par @MargotRuault ➡️ À lire ici : https://t.co/8fOGnWTmQs https://t.co/43ThHJ8fAE
THE FED JUST TRIGGERED A GLOBAL RISK-ON RALLY — WITHOUT SAYING A WORD After a brutal jobs report, markets are now pricing in an 85%+ chance of a Fed rate cut in September. U.S. futures popped Sunday night: • S&P 500: +0.4% • Nasdaq: +0.4% • Dow: +0.3% https://t.co/RNDPwrzNC3