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Top stories

Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador

Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador

Authors

7

5 months ago

Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan

Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan

Authors

3

5 months ago

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

US Domestic Policy

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

Authors

33

5 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

5 months ago

Executive Orders

Trump Declares Aug. 26 Day to Honor Abbey Gate Fallen

Authors

85

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Steve Bannon Calls for Accountability on Abbey Gate Anniversary, Criticizes H-1B Visa Program and CCP Influence

Authors

4

5 months ago

German Chancellor Merz Urges CDU-Led Welfare Reform Citing Unemployment, Benefit Recipients, and Need for New Trade Partners

Authors

16

5 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Nigel Farage and Keir Starmer Back Detention, Deportation as UK Faces Rising Illegal Boat Arrivals; US Advances Expedited Removal Act

Authors

9

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Afghanistan

What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

8519498

OptionProbability

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

January 6th

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

Bitcoin

The Rise of China

Private Spaceflight

Violent repression of women in Iran

New York v Trump 2024

Russia's takeover of the US political establishment

Tigray War

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

Enshittification

98

97

88

82

82

82

78

75

63

63

62

57

54

53

51

40

21

13

US regain control over Bagram air base in Afghanistan by August 2026?

Sep 19, 6:49 AMAug 30, 11:59 PM

19.45%chance

81191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2035

491

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?

Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.42%chance

23749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

788

Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?

Dec 8, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.51%chance

18710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1490

762

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

17556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

817

Will Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?

Mar 23, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.21%chance

20497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1343

880

Will Israel attack Turkey, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, or Pakistan in 2027?

Jan 29, 12:29 AMJan 2, 2:33 AM

12446

OptionProbability

Turkey

Pakistan

Other

Afghanistan

Turkmenistan

Armenia

Azerbaijan

27

22

22

10

9

7

3

Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)

Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

76.62%chance

16398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

963

Will the Taliban control Afghanistan in 2035?

Mar 26, 4:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

6121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

92

Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028?

Sep 21, 1:52 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

23.58%chance

7100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.16%chance

690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

94

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Washington DC
Politics
Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt
Authors
33
5 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Pakistan
War
Politics
Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador
Authors
7
5 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Middle East
Politics
World
Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids
Authors
5
5 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan
Authors
3
5 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
War
Executive Orders
Politics
Trump Declares Aug. 26 Day to Honor Abbey Gate Fallen
Authors
85
5 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Legislation
US Foreign Policy
US Domestic Policy
Steve Bannon Calls for Accountability on Abbey Gate Anniversary, Criticizes H-1B Visa Program and CCP Influence
Authors
4
5 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Germany
Economics
Business
German Chancellor Merz Urges CDU-Led Welfare Reform Citing Unemployment, Benefit Recipients, and Need for New Trade Partners
Authors
16
5 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Britain
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
Nigel Farage and Keir Starmer Back Detention, Deportation as UK Faces Rising Illegal Boat Arrivals; US Advances Expedited Removal Act
Authors
9
5 months ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Middle East
Crime
Culture
Iran Says Forces Kill Six Militants Linked to Israel in Southeast
Authors
5
6 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Middle East
Crime
Culture
Gunmen Kill Five Police Officers in Iran’s Restive Southeast
Authors
5
6 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Germany
Ukraine
War
Merz Ties Ukraine Summit to Ceasefire as German Troop Plan Faces Backlash
Authors
11
6 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
China
India
Pakistan
China’s Wang Yi Courts India, Afghanistan and Pakistan in Security and CPEC Push
Authors
37
6 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
World
Bus Inferno in Herat Kills at Least 79 Afghan Deportees
Authors
29
6 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
War
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Four Years After Taliban Takeover Marked by Aerial Flower Display, Afghanistan Faces Crisis Amid Russia Recognition and Refugee Repatriation
Authors
24
6 months ago

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