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Top stories

Newsom Warns Trump Moves to Secure Power Beyond 2028 Election

US Domestic Policy

Newsom Warns Trump Moves to Secure Power Beyond 2028 Election

Authors

16

10 months ago

U.S. Freezes Work Visas for Foreign Truck Drivers After Fatal Florida Crash

Executive Orders

US Domestic Policy

U.S. Freezes Work Visas for Foreign Truck Drivers After Fatal Florida Crash

Authors

17

10 months ago

Pritzker Rejects Trump Threat to Deploy National Guard in Chicago

US Domestic Policy

Pritzker Rejects Trump Threat to Deploy National Guard in Chicago

Authors

13

10 months ago

California Clinic Workers Indicted for Assaulting ICE Officer

Authors

6

10 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Natural Disasters

FEMA Suspends Dozens of Staff After Letter Warns of Katrina-Scale Disaster

Authors

76

10 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Judge Xinis Bars Deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia Until October Hearing

Authors

27

10 months ago

US Gov Appointments

US Domestic Policy

Virginia Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears Condemns Racist Protest Sign Over Transgender Bathroom Policy as Democrats Block Youngkin Appointees

Authors

7

10 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Adrian Guerrero Threatens San Francisco ICE Agent With Knife Amid Riot, DHS Secretary Noem Blames Sanctuary Laws

Authors

8

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Immigration and Customs Enforcement

How many deportations will the US carry out in FY2025?

Nov 10, 1:48 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

2111070

OptionProbability

500K-1M

250K-500K

1M-2M

150K-250K

Less than 100K

100K-150K

2M+

53

32

7

5

1

1

1

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?

Jan 24, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

878733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?

Dec 21, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.75%chance

332538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

678

100

Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:27 AM

23.35%chance

181074

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

55

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

12669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

Hamideh Soleimani the niece of late IRGC General Qassem Soleimani?

Apr 6, 9:45 PMApr 13, 9:44 PM

44.77%chance

5268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

900

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.21%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026

Dec 31, 8:53 AMJan 1, 7:00 AM

4102

OptionProbability

JD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social)

Attie (@attie.ai)

Other

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (@icegov.bsky.social)

The White House (@whitehouse-47.bsky.social)

41

28

14

13

5

Is ICE going to be deployed in polls this midterms?

Mar 31, 2:36 PMNov 1, 11:59 PM

50%chance

4100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

Dec 15, 7:21 AMJun 30, 7:05 AM

17.83%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

97

If you had to guess, what’s US “border tsar” Tom Homan‘s IQ

Feb 17, 12:13 PM

250

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