National Guard News

ICE kills another civilian

The ICE agent is put on leave

Jonathan Ross is charged by Minnesota authorities

Walz and/or Frey are indicted by the DOJ

A third civilian is killed by DHS

George Floyd-level protests

Trump deploys the National Guard to Minnesota

A DHS agent is killed

Trump deploys active-duty military to Minnesota

Insurrection Act/Martial Law in Minneapolis

Iran and Israel both sign (or publicly accept) a written cease-fire or peace agreement, and no lethal exchange of fire between their regular forces occurs for the following 30 consecutive days

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Israel

Thailand's Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra resigns

Government official from Mexico attends the 2025 BRICS Summit

Iran - Israel War ends in 2025 (ceasefire last at least 90 days (September 22, 2025) or peace deal is signed)

A new non-majority Muslim (according to CIA Factbook) state becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

≥ 25 fatalities in Cambodia-Thailand border clashes

DRC & Rwanda sign USA-brokered peace agreement

≥ 1,500 Palestinians killed near Gaza aid hubs

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire in 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire before October 1, 2025

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ceasefire is broken

Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash reignites (fighting resumes)

United States government arrests president Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela

Indonesia becomes a member of BRICS

Xi Jinping remains General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party

Kim Jong Un remains General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea (or equivalent title)

Russia remains a permanent member of UN Security Council

Vladimir Putin remains President of Russia

An armed non-state group captures and holds the capital city of a UN-recognised state for ≥72 hours

Donald Trump remains President of USA

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba

China declares an air- or maritime-exclusion zone covering any part of Taiwan’s territorial sea or airspace

Algeria becomes a member of BRICS

Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President of Ukraine

India's 2026-2027 Defence Budget exceeds ₹7.5 lakh crore

At any point more than 5,000 USA National Guard Troops domestically deployed

A cyber-attack officially attributed to a foreign state actor causes ≥US $1 billion in insured losses to a single country

Min Aung Hlaing ceases to serve as either (a) Chairman of the State Administration Council or (b) Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces

Trump, Putin, & Zelensky meet together in the same room

123

At least 5,000 uniformed personnel belonging to a UN-Security-Council-authorized security or peace-keeping mission are physically deployed in Haiti

A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Iran

Nigeria becomes a member of BRICS

Izz al-Din al-Haddad remains leader of Hamas

North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test

Azerbaijan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

A drone attacks a head of state (hits or lands within 30 meters)

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Europe

Autonomous lethal drones (no human on the kill-decision loop) are acknowledged by any state to have been used in combat

A 5th-generation fighter jet is confirmed to have been destroyed in air/shot down (not including being damaged from an airfield bombing)

Benjamin Netanyahu remains Prime Minister of Israel

Ukraine - Russia War ends with a peace treaty

Turkey invokes NATO Article 4 consultations

160 UN Nations simultaneously officially regonize Palestine's statehood.

Russian armed forces intentionally attack uniformed personnel or sovereign assets of any NATO member state, or vice-versa

Russia sells or scraps it's only aircraft carrier; the Admiral Kuznetsov

Vladimir Putin is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Ukraine - Russia War halted by Ceasefire

A state shoot-down of a spacecraft or satellite in orbit is publicly confirmed

Saudi Arabia becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Uniformed armed forces in any G20 member state attempt to seize executive power from the constitutional head of government

A peace treaty ending the Ethiopia–Tigray conflict is signed and remains unbroken for 90 days

Bangladesh becomes a member of BRICS

World leader of 20m+ population country is assassinated

Non-PSUV candidate inaugurated as next President of Venezuela

The U.S. suffers ≥50 combat fatalities in a single new overseas operation—defined as a country where no U.S. combat deaths occurred in 2024

USA performs military action (troops/special forces deployed or airstrike/missile strike) in Mexico resulting in confirmed deaths

An armed clash between India and Pakistan results in ≥100 military fatalities in a 7-day period

Kazakhstan becomes a member of BRICS

Successful military coup in Venezuela

Mexico becomes a member of BRICS

1+ deaths attributed to a rogue AI

At least three sovereign states outside NATO, EU, ANZUS, or the Quad sign a formal mutual-defence treaty deposited with the UN Treaty Series

A new ceasefire between Israel and Gaza is announced by Donald Trump

Any signatory of the CTBT tests a nuclear weapon

Any country leaves NATO

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United States

A head of state from a G20 country is assassinated

Any EU member invokes Article 42 (7) of the Treaty on European Union in response to an armed attack

Syria becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Libya becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Iraq becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

The IAEA publicly reports that Iran possesses uranium enriched to ≥90 % U-235

China invades Taiwan

Any hostile military forces are deployed on Israeli soil

Japan launches a domestically-built intermediate-range ballistic missile (>3 000 km advertised range) test

Sudanese Civil War ends

Benjamin Netanyahu is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Qatar becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

United Kingdom formally states intention to begin process to reverse "Brexit"

China becomes militarily involved in Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash

A nation officially announces AGI has been achieved

An armed clash in the Shaksgam Valley between India & China resulting in ≥10 fatalities in a 7-day period

Venezuela becomes a member of BRICS

North Korea - South Korea results in any civilian deaths

Saudi Arabia prices oil exports to China in Yuan (CNY)

A vessel larger than 50,000 deadweight tons is damaged or sunk by a naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz

Armenia undergoes a regime change as the result of a military coup

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United Kingdom

The Arctic Council is formally suspended or dissolved by unanimous vote

United Nations Security Council adopts (i.e., passes without veto) a formal resolution that explicitly condemns Israel’s use of lethal force against civilians seeking humanitarian aid in Gaza or demands Israel cease such force

India's Prime Minister Modi steps down or announces a successor

Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Canada

Palestine is granted full United Nations Membership

Bashar Al-Assad is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

A country announces magnetic-fusion net-positive energy

Azerbaijani troops enter Iran

Israel annexes 100% of Gaza

Iran becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

USA leaves NATO

The Government of Denmark publicly acknowledges receipt of a formal written offer from Donald J. Trump or his officially empowered representatives to transfer sovereignty over Greenland to the United States

Jordan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

World Health Organization (WHO) declares a Chikungunya virus pandemic

Saudi Arabia signs a written, mutual-defence pact with China or Russia

Lebanon becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords

Argentina becomes a member of BRICS

At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population

Major News sources consistently identify a conflict as WWIII

Israel conducts military operation in Cyprus

Whole of Greenland becomes USA territory

Donald Trump is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Kim Jong Un is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)

Any current G-20 member state ceases to be listed as a United Nations Member State

Ukraine becomes a formal NATO member

Any United States of America state formally states intent to begin process to secede

Two states engage in a nuclear exchange (both attempt to deliver a nuclear device within the borders of the other)

Any Canadian territory becomes part of US territory

Any US territory comes under Canadian administration

Humans will extinct

Alberta begins process of becoming a USA state

Extraterrestrials making contact with earth is widely acknowledged

YES

Is a man

Is under 30 years old

Has military background

Is charged with murder before 2026

Is alive on 12/31/2025

Is cited by Trump administration as a reason for deploying more troops to any city by 12/31/2025

Is white and not hispanic

Is used as a pretext to restrict immigration

Was acting alone

Has ties to extremist groups

Has ever been diagnosed with a mental health condition

Has the death penalty sought against him by the prosecution

Accepts a plea deal instead of going to trial

Is convicted in relation to these crimes by 1/1/2027

Has been awarded for services to the United States

Was motivated by political ideology

Has been convicted of a felony

Was intoxicated at the time of the shooting

Had the firearm used in the crime legally

Is a U.S. citizen

Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

Evan permabanned from Manifold

Charlie Kirk is the most viewed article on Wikipedia in 2025

Any left-wing group is legally designated as a "terrorist organization"

Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated.

Jimmy Kimmel returns to air on Sinclair stations

Charlie Kirk dies

Charlie Kirk remains no longer alive

government employee fired for personal statements on kirk is reinstated or wins employment/first amendment lawsuit about firing

Over 1 million combined lifetime student memberships and faith initiatives by Nov 2026

South Park does an episode that alludes to it

event with left leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

Another political assassination (either side)

At least once person is hospitalized or killed in a violent incident started by someone who thinks they are retaliating for Kirk's death

Trump initiates a large-scale crackdown on civil liberties in response.

Any House Democrat is censured for comments on Kirk.

Search warrant/subpoena executed against a journalist citing social media posts about the shooting

South Park episode canceled (not delayed)

BBC does piece on furries that mentions Tyler Robinson

Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and/or declares martial law.

The FCC revokes a station’s broadcast license over any misinformation about Kirk.

Federal bill/EO to restrict/prevent transgender gun ownership

event with right leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

A prominent anti-Trump journalist is arrested.

"Groyper War 3" declared by Nick Fuentes or one of his generals

Jezebel writer Claire Guinan testifies that she doesn't believe in witchcraft.

Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol

Information reward money paid

high ranking fed (elected, political appointee, or LEO) acting in an official capacity names a suspect later exonerated

Actblue specifically is labelled a terrorist organization or shut down

Kirk or the assassination referenced explicitly in super bowl ad

arson attack against gender clinic

At least one furry convention canceled

Robinson's roommate charged with any crime related to the assassination

At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments

TPUSA supports a gun control bill

Any Democratic politician is arrested

5+ reporters/columnists fired (across any outlets)

Upcoming issues of Absolute Batman pulled

Search warrant/subpoena executed against an individual citing social media posts about the shooting

Federal investigation started into "funders" of "the left"

Any news organization is shut down

Any left-wing NGO is shut down

A member of a prominent left-leaning organization is arrested.

A furry website is hacked and the users are doxxed

80s-style moral panic over furries

Another left-wing group is legally declared a terrorist organization.

NYT reporter / opinion columnist fired

"Jimmy Kimmel Live!" ends, or Jimmy Kimmel is fired/resigns

Seth Meyers fired, or show cancelled.

Increased stigma towards sexual "deviants" in the US

Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law

At least 100 people are arrested on Antifa charges.

Jimmy Fallon fired, or show cancelled.

National Guard deployed to anywhere in Utah (explicitly linked to Kirk)

Kash Patel fired

South Park canceled

Discord or Bluesky removed from the App Store or Play Store

America becomes a one-party GOP state.

5 swatting attacks reported on (not before) 9/12

The office of the Minnesota governor deploys the Minnesota National Guard

ICE kills another civilian

The ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities

The killer will be given medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program (type shit)

Trump deploys the National Guard to Minnesota

Trump pardons the ICE agent

An ICE agent is killed

George Floyd-level protests

Kristi Noem is impeached

The ICE agent is fired

Trump declares a national emergency that could be used to justify postponing or interfering with the next election.

Insurrection Act/Martial Law in Minneapolis

Nationwide firearm ban for civilians

"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

"lower taxes"

"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

"stop all COVID mandates"

"keep men out of women’s sports"

"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

"more jobs for American workers"

"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

"bigger paychecks"

"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

"adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"

"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

"cut the number of school administrators"

"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

declassify the 'Epstein files'

"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

"increase fairness through price transparency"

"passing a digital bill of rights"

"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

"end surprise medical billing"

"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

The DHS agent is put on leave

DHS kills another civilian

Trump deploys the National Guard to Minnesota

The DHS agent is charged by Minnesota authorities

A DHS agent is killed

Insurrection Act/Martial Law in Minneapolis

Trump deploys active-duty military to Minnesota

George Floyd-level protests

The DHS agent is fired

YES

YES

YES

YES