Parliament News

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

10 months ago

Kenya

Politics

World

Kenya Marks 15 Years of 2010 Charter Amid Fresh Calls to Close Gender Gap

10 months ago

Kenya

Software

Politics

Kenya Treasury Defies Parliament, Insists on E-Procurement as Sh250bn Projects Stall

10 months ago

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

3%chance

2132109

OptionVotes

YES

5686

176

Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?

Jun 3, 11:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2112300

OptionProbability

Runcorn and Helsby

Gorton and Denton [Andrew Gwynne]

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

Aberdeen South [Stephen Flynn]

Makerfield [Josh Simons]

North East Somerset and Hanham [Dan Norris]

Central Suffolk and North Ipswich [Patrick Spencer]

East Kilbride and Strathavenn [Joani Reid]

Blackley and Middleton South [Graham Stringer]

Mid Norfolk [George Freeman]

Kingston upon Hull East [Karl Turner]

Hertsmere [Oliver Dowden]

South Basildon and East Thurrock [James McMurdock]

Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]

Hackney North and Stoke Newington [Diane Abbott]

Herne Bay and Sandwich [Roger Gale]

Clacton [Nigel Farage]

Gainsborough [Edward Leigh]

West Lancashire [Rosie Cooper]

Holborn and St. Pancras [Keir Starmer]

Skipton and Ripon [Julian Smith]

Hampstead and Highgate [Tulip Siddiq]

Norwich South [Clive Lewis]

Manchester Rusholme [Afzhal Khan]

Burnley [Oliver Ryan]

100

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Mar 30, 2:48 AMSep 21, 3:59 AM

37.37%chance

273173

OptionVotes

YES

1325

728

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

1504

665

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Nov 6, 10:25 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

24.2%chance

232074

OptionVotes

YES

1227

857

Israeli Parliament dissolved by…?

Jun 2, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

102071

OptionProbability

December 31 11.59pm ET

August 31 11.59pm ET

July 31 11.59pm ET

July 15 11.59pm ET

June 30 11.59pm ET

June 15 11.59pm ET

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

2969

337

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.2%chance

101587

OptionVotes

YES

1328

753

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

1435

666

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.3%chance

21475

OptionVotes

YES

1184

908

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.26%chance

10157

OptionVotes

YES

1008

989

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Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Israeli Parliament dissolved by…?

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

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