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Prediction markets for Donald Trump

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

3%chance

507443850

OptionVotes

YES

5831

195

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

22%chance

830421172

OptionVotes

YES

2200

759

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

12.71%chance

403220077

OptionVotes

YES

5523

979

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

Jan 22, 4:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.57%chance

58187127

OptionVotes

YES

44937

7944

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2026?

Jul 14, 11:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

98.17%chance

93149409

OptionVotes

YES

87988

3002

Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?

Aug 5, 2:22 AMAug 12, 3:59 AM

2.06%chance

109118343

OptionVotes

YES

6892

145

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Nov 6, 5:20 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

54.47%chance

26970912

OptionVotes

YES

12960

5849

Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?

Nov 16, 5:04 AMJan 21, 5:01 AM

37.18%chance

19932984

OptionVotes

YES

2910

1157

Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?

Jun 13, 5:31 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

13423254

OptionProbability

Completes full term

Dies of natural causes or illness

Does not complete term

Dies from assassination or external violence

Other

Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to the majority of american citizens during his second term?

Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM

32.81%chance

15416523

OptionVotes

YES

1699

1324

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

54.47%chance

365119

OptionVotes

YES

1094

914

Will Donald Trump still be president in 2030?

Dec 31, 1:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.83%chance

212689

OptionVotes

YES

1388

950

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Putin Briefs Saudi Crown Prince on Trump Meeting, OPEC+ Cooperation
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10
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Pharma
Experts Doubt Pharma’s Direct-to-Consumer Push Will Cut Drug Bills
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