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Prediction markets for Trump

Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?

Nov 13, 2:32 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

10.47%chance

14772203680

OptionVotes

YES

25300

6409

Will Trump finish his second term?

Dec 5, 9:25 PMJan 22, 5:59 AM

79.42%chance

399608225

OptionVotes

YES

99826

98507

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

22%chance

829421112

OptionVotes

YES

2200

759

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

3%chance

506420895

OptionVotes

YES

5831

195

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

29.74%chance

680288947

OptionVotes

YES

5783

3688

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

66260292

OptionVotes

YES

300070

33326

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

43.72%chance

507233913

OptionVotes

YES

8134

4706

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

51.8%chance

295200899

OptionVotes

YES

5256

4810

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

22.31%chance

38387529

OptionVotes

YES

1778

623

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Nov 6, 5:20 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

54.47%chance

26970912

OptionVotes

YES

12960

5849

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

42.29%chance

206464

OptionVotes

YES

12015

8196

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

42%chance

62029

OptionVotes

YES

11755

8505

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Aug 21, 2025
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4 months ago
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4 months ago
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4 months ago
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5
4 months ago
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Russia
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4 months ago
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War
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Politics
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4
4 months ago
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US Domestic Policy
IoT
Politics
Trump Administration Deploys Smart Cameras to Tighten U.S.–Mexico Border
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5
4 months ago
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4 months ago
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5
4 months ago
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Russia
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4 months ago
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Europe
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Politics
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10
4 months ago
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India
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Economics
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16
4 months ago
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US Foreign Policy
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4 months ago
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Law
Politics
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4 months ago
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Politics
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4 months ago
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Politics
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4 months ago
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Russia
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Politics
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4 months ago
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Russia
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4 months ago
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Ukraine
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4 months ago
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Washington DC
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4 months ago
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Middle East
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4 months ago
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US Legislation
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Tariffs
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4 months ago
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4 months ago
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4 months ago
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4 months ago
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Finland
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Russia
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4 months ago
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Politics
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5
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
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Ukraine
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Politics
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13
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Trump Signals U.S. Security Guarantees, Details Due Later Today
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4 months ago

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