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Top stories

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Authors

15

10 months ago

U.S. Vice President Vance Backs U.K. ‘Raise the Colours’ Flag Campaign

U.S. Vice President Vance Backs U.K. ‘Raise the Colours’ Flag Campaign

Authors

5

10 months ago

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Germany, France and Britain Urge Iran to Revive Nuclear Talks

Authors

3

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

Authors

5

10 months ago

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

Authors

12

10 months ago

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Authors

13

10 months ago

Apple Says UK Competition Plan Risks Delays and Weakens iPhone Security

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Britain

Will Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?

Feb 15, 9:25 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

4.96%chance

2118144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3502

731

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

10.12%chance

394786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3060

345

Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?

Feb 15, 4:08 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM

64.6%chance

303700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

Britain net migration < 25,000 for 2026

Jan 7, 12:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.26%chance

113525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2958

338

How many seats will Restore Britain or its successor have in Parliament following the next UK general election?

Apr 23, 5:17 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

91637

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 2

Above 5

Above 10

Above 20

Above 50

Above 100

Above 200

Above 326

39

28

6

4

3

3

3

1

1

1

Will the USA "liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government" before the next US presidential election?

Jan 6, 9:00 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

1.09%chance

101095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

950

11

Will a crossing of the Irish Sea, between Great Britain and Ireland, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:49 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.42%chance

141075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

883

Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?

Apr 8, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.4%chance

31780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

958

Will Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.87%chance

5220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

369

112

In the next UK general election, Will Reform UK and Restore Britain be top 2 in any seat?

Feb 26, 6:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.12%chance

12164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

168

Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

James Bond

Lord of the Rings

Back to the Future

Paddington

Harry Potter

52

50

50

50

44

Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

49.17%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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