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Top stories

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Authors

7

8 months ago

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

Authors

73

8 months ago

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

Authors

4

8 months ago

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

Authors

12

8 months ago

Israel Stages Rare Airborne Raid Near Damascus After Successive Strikes

Authors

18

8 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

8 months ago

Austria Puts IAEA Chief Grossi Under 24-Hour Guard After Iran Threat

Authors

11

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Iranian

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.97%chance

8831716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11531

1939

New Iranian Supreme Leader is chosen in March 2026 and killed in March 2026.

Mar 4, 12:57 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

4.73%chance

16923533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4486

223

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Mar 2, 6:03 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

3.5%chance

179859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5670

285

Will the Iranian protests end tragically?

Jan 9, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.15%chance

298779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2223

451

Will conclusive evidence emerge that Nuno Loureiro was killed by the Iranian government or its agents before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.7%chance

146374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6004

167

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Apr 1, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

18.62%chance

516350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3278

1010

When will the US+allies kill more Iranians than Iran?

Feb 28, 12:27 PMOct 9, 10:59 PM

132692

OptionProbability

2026-09-30

2026-05-31

2026-03-06

2026-03-15

2026-03-31

33

21

0

0

0

Will Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Mar 20, 3:17 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

48.22%chance

232534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

965

Will Manifold look positively at the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides on June 21st 2025 at their anniversary?

Jun 22, 1:15 AMJun 22, 6:59 AM

42.61%chance

302301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

862

Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?

Mar 1, 12:15 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

7.49%chance

192278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1094

Will Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity result in US casualties before 2029?

Mar 10, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

241847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

867

A U.S. ground invasion of Iran is expected before July 1st, 2026, along with the fall of the Iranian regime.

Apr 25, 5:54 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

7.26%chance

14780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

357

28

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