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Top stories

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Authors

7

7 months ago

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

Authors

73

7 months ago

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

Authors

4

7 months ago

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

Authors

12

7 months ago

Israel Stages Rare Airborne Raid Near Damascus After Successive Strikes

Authors

18

7 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

7 months ago

Austria Puts IAEA Chief Grossi Under 24-Hour Guard After Iran Threat

Authors

11

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Iranian

Will Trump apologize for bombing Iranian school?

Mar 12, 3:18 PMMar 31, 3:14 PM

3.57%chance

8726775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5199

192

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

8324930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7870

2985

New Iranian Supreme Leader is chosen in March 2026 and killed in March 2026.

Mar 4, 12:57 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

13.51%chance

15920198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2530

395

Will the Iranian protests end tragically?

Jan 9, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.24%chance

297862

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1182

847

Will conclusive evidence emerge that Nuno Loureiro was killed by the Iranian government or its agents before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.63%chance

146297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6081

164

Death toll of Iranian regime killings Jan. 8 and 9, 2026?

Jan 14, 4:49 PMMay 31, 3:00 PM

96067

OptionProbability

16,001+

13,001 - 16,000

5,0001 - 8,000

11,001 - 13,000

8,001 - 11,000

2,001 - 5,000

Below 2,000

61

9

8

8

7

6

1

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Mar 2, 6:03 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

18.69%chance

153946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1941

618

Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?

Mar 1, 12:15 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

7.49%chance

192278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1094

Will Manifold look positively at the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides on June 21st 2025 at their anniversary?

Jun 22, 1:15 AMJun 22, 6:59 AM

56.88%chance

231907

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

871

Will Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Mar 20, 3:17 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

44%chance

161886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Will Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity result in US casualties before 2029?

Mar 10, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

221477

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

675

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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