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Prediction markets for Western

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

5.54%chance

928367

OptionVotes

YES

2247

1508

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.77%chance

407660

OptionVotes

YES

1011

827

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

473320

OptionVotes

YES

1232

916

Will a Western team ever win the League of Legends World Championships again?

Nov 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.77%chance

102444

OptionVotes

YES

1400

714

Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?

Jun 17, 9:01 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

51.74%chance

322365

OptionVotes

YES

1036

966

Will any big western EU or UK city (as of 2023) have more than 50% Muslim population by 2050?

Sep 10, 12:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

61.9%chance

231205

OptionVotes

YES

1148

893

Lakers get top-4 seed in Western Conference by end of 2025-26 season?

Dec 1, 7:12 PMApr 15, 11:59 PM

55.03%chance

111122

OptionVotes

YES

1090

940

Western major media calls Tibet Xizang before 2027?

Feb 25, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.13%chance

71103

OptionVotes

YES

2074

491

Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.11%chance

14527

OptionVotes

YES

1077

659

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

YES

1021

930

Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?

Feb 8, 10:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.81%chance

20389

OptionVotes

YES

1017

985

Will US GDP per capita exceed 10x Western Europe's before 2050?

Mar 7, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.91%chance

4111

OptionVotes

YES

1057

986

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