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Top stories

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

7 months ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Authors

21

7 months ago

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row

Authors

28

7 months ago

Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget

Authors

21

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge

Authors

4

7 months ago

Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks

Authors

4

7 months ago

Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions

Authors

21

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Foreign Ministry

USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?

Feb 28, 6:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

11%chance

21263863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2844

352

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

8334605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2359

424

Cuba / Florida Speedboat Attack: Which of the following are true

Feb 25, 8:43 PMMar 27, 7:43 PM

94234

OptionProbability

People on the boat were US military or CIA (or similar) on an official mission

Major escalation before EOD Feb 26. eg >4 more new deaths

21

0

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.66%chance

211726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1960

510

In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?

Mar 11, 10:28 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

16583

OptionProbability

After March 31 2026.

Before 01/01 2027

During April 2026.

Within 10 days.

80

79

45

0

Will India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?

Mar 18, 6:16 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

11.4%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will Honduras restablish diplomatic ties with the Republic of China (Taiwan) before 2027?

Nov 28, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.93%chance

9232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

Mar 7, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.79%chance

4175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

357

217

Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?

Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

20.54%chance

6166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will China's Dec 2025 export rules cut NdPr supply by more than 10% in H1 2026?

Feb 20, 6:09 AMAug 19, 6:09 AM

50.73%chance

199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

910

Macinka remains a Czech minister in 2026

Jan 27, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.66%chance

285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Indian immigrants second only to locals in Japan by EOY 2050?

Oct 2, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Germany
Iran
Politics
Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Economics
Politics
Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars
Authors
24
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Ukraine
War
Politics
Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians
Authors
21
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Brazil
US Foreign Policy
Tariffs
Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row
Authors
28
7 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Mexico
Tariffs
Economics
Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget
Authors
21
7 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Education
China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge
Authors
4
7 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Southeast Asia
China
Japan
Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions
Authors
21
7 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
Brazil
War
Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks
Authors
4
7 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Nigeria
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World
Japan Denies Special Visa Plan as Four Municipalities Face Thousands of Complaints Over JICA’s Africa Hometown; Nigeria Retracts Statement
Authors
17
7 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Caribbean
China
US Foreign Policy
China's Foreign Ministry Rebuts U.S. Southern Command Claims, Condemns Military Pressure and Freedom of Navigation Manipulation in Caribbean
Authors
6
7 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Syria
War
US Foreign Policy
US Ends Sanctions as Syria’s Al-Sharaa Plans UN Address amid Israeli Incursion
Authors
20
7 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israeli Minister’s Jordan River Claims Condemned by Jordan, Palestine; UAE Denounces Settlements and Gaza Operations; Syria Reports Incursions, Civilian Deaths
Authors
9
7 months ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Libya
Politics
World
UN Sets 12–18-Month Libya Roadmap, Egypt Voices Support
Authors
3
7 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
US Domestic Policy
Politics
U.S. Widens Visa Scrutiny, Reviewing 55 Million Holders for Violations
Authors
26
7 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Beijing Demands U.S. Halt Border Harassment of Chinese Students
Authors
4
7 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
Ukraine
War
Zelensky Rejects China as Security Guarantor; Beijing Reasserts Neutrality
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11
7 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Poland
War
Politics
Poland Blames Russian Shahed Drone for Cornfield Blast, Denounces ‘Provocation’
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35
7 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Crime
Venezuela Seizes Weapons Cache, Links Terror Plot to Opposition Figure
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Beijing Rejects Trump Remark, Calls Taiwan Solely China’s Affair
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Egypt
War
Politics
Egypt Denounces Reported Israeli Plans to Displace Palestinians, Vows No Participation
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
War
Politics
China Urges Inclusive Ukraine Peace Deal Ahead of Washington Talks
Authors
7
7 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Israel
War
Politics
Israel’s Ben-Gvir Films Himself Threatening Prisoner Marwan Barghouti
Authors
29
7 months ago

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