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Top stories

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

7 months ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Authors

21

7 months ago

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row

Authors

28

7 months ago

Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget

Authors

21

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge

Authors

4

7 months ago

Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks

Authors

4

7 months ago

Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions

Authors

21

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Foreign Ministry

USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?

Feb 28, 6:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

10.83%chance

21363888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2869

348

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

8334605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2359

424

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

Mar 15, 2:52 AMMar 23, 11:59 PM

12119914

OptionProbability

Mojtaba Khamenei

Other

Reza Pahlavi

Hassan Rouhani

No Head Of State

Masoud Pezeshkian

Alireza Arafi

Hassan Khomeini

Sadegh Larijani

Maryam Rajavi

Ali Larijani

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Abbas Araghchi

Ahmad Vahidi

Mohammad Khatami

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Donald Trump

Hassan Shariatmadari

Marco Rubio

33

30

10

5

5

5

3

3

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Cuba / Florida Speedboat Attack: Which of the following are true

Feb 25, 8:43 PMMar 27, 7:43 PM

94234

OptionProbability

People on the boat were US military or CIA (or similar) on an official mission

Major escalation before EOD Feb 26. eg >4 more new deaths

21

0

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.66%chance

211726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1960

510

Will India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?

Mar 18, 6:16 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

11.4%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will Honduras restablish diplomatic ties with the Republic of China (Taiwan) before 2027?

Nov 28, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.93%chance

9232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

Mar 7, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.79%chance

4175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

357

217

Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?

Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

20.54%chance

6166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will China's Dec 2025 export rules cut NdPr supply by more than 10% in H1 2026?

Feb 20, 6:09 AMAug 19, 6:09 AM

50.73%chance

199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

910

Macinka remains a Czech minister in 2026

Jan 27, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.66%chance

285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Indian immigrants second only to locals in Japan by EOY 2050?

Oct 2, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Germany
Iran
Politics
Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Economics
Politics
Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars
Authors
24
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Ukraine
War
Politics
Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians
Authors
21
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Brazil
US Foreign Policy
Tariffs
Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row
Authors
28
7 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Mexico
Tariffs
Economics
Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget
Authors
21
7 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Education
China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge
Authors
4
7 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Southeast Asia
China
Japan
Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions
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21
7 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
Brazil
War
Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks
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4
7 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
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17
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Aug 25, 2025
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Caribbean
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6
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Aug 25, 2025
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US Foreign Policy
US Ends Sanctions as Syria’s Al-Sharaa Plans UN Address amid Israeli Incursion
Authors
20
7 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Middle East
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Israeli Minister’s Jordan River Claims Condemned by Jordan, Palestine; UAE Denounces Settlements and Gaza Operations; Syria Reports Incursions, Civilian Deaths
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Libya
Politics
World
UN Sets 12–18-Month Libya Roadmap, Egypt Voices Support
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US Domestic Policy
Politics
U.S. Widens Visa Scrutiny, Reviewing 55 Million Holders for Violations
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26
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Aug 22, 2025
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Politics
Beijing Demands U.S. Halt Border Harassment of Chinese Students
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Aug 22, 2025
China
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11
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Poland
War
Politics
Poland Blames Russian Shahed Drone for Cornfield Blast, Denounces ‘Provocation’
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35
7 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Crime
Venezuela Seizes Weapons Cache, Links Terror Plot to Opposition Figure
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Beijing Rejects Trump Remark, Calls Taiwan Solely China’s Affair
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Egypt
War
Politics
Egypt Denounces Reported Israeli Plans to Displace Palestinians, Vows No Participation
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
War
Politics
China Urges Inclusive Ukraine Peace Deal Ahead of Washington Talks
Authors
7
7 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Israel
War
Politics
Israel’s Ben-Gvir Films Himself Threatening Prisoner Marwan Barghouti
Authors
29
7 months ago

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