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Top stories

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

1 year ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Authors

21

1 year ago

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row

Authors

28

1 year ago

Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget

Authors

21

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge

Authors

4

1 year ago

Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks

Authors

4

1 year ago

Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions

Authors

21

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Foreign Ministry

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

Mar 15, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22156938

OptionProbability

Mojtaba Khamenei

Other

Ahmad Vahidi

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Reza Pahlavi

Hassan Rouhani

No Head Of State

Mohamed Amin

Ali Larijani

Masoud Pezeshkian

Maryam Rajavi

Alireza Arafi

Hassan Khomeini

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Sadegh Larijani

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Abbas Araghchi

Mohammad Khatami

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Donald Trump

Hassan Shariatmadari

Marco Rubio

Nasir Hosseini

Navid Shomali

81

8

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.11%chance

333262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3365

297

Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?

Jul 27, 10:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

51.66%chance

93109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

1306

Will India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?

Mar 18, 6:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.91%chance

151405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

39

In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?

Mar 11, 10:28 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

231053

OptionProbability

After March 31 2026.

Before 01/01 2027

During April 2026.

Within 10 days.

100

21

1

0

Will Russia introduce exit visas by the end of 2026

Jul 12, 8:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.88%chance

6676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1522

900

China vs Japan Conflict before 2027?

Apr 29, 10:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11368

OptionProbability

No, status quo persists

Yes, via naval or aerial skirmish

Yes, via economic or cyber warfare

Yes

No, diplomatic tensions remain below armed conflict

82

5

5

4

4

US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?

May 18, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

8239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?

Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

13.18%chance

7226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

39

Macinka remains a Czech minister in 2026

Jan 27, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.66%chance

3132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Will Black Sea Grain Initiative be reactivated by EOY 2026?

Sep 14, 11:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.3%chance

263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Indian immigrants second only to locals in Japan by EOY 2050?

Oct 2, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Germany
Iran
Politics
Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Economics
Politics
Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars
Authors
24
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Ukraine
War
Politics
Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians
Authors
21
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Brazil
US Foreign Policy
Tariffs
Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row
Authors
28
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Mexico
Tariffs
Economics
Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget
Authors
21
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Education
China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Southeast Asia
China
Japan
Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions
Authors
21
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
Brazil
War
Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Nigeria
Japan
World
Japan Denies Special Visa Plan as Four Municipalities Face Thousands of Complaints Over JICA’s Africa Hometown; Nigeria Retracts Statement
Authors
17
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Caribbean
China
US Foreign Policy
China's Foreign Ministry Rebuts U.S. Southern Command Claims, Condemns Military Pressure and Freedom of Navigation Manipulation in Caribbean
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Syria
War
US Foreign Policy
US Ends Sanctions as Syria’s Al-Sharaa Plans UN Address amid Israeli Incursion
Authors
20
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israeli Minister’s Jordan River Claims Condemned by Jordan, Palestine; UAE Denounces Settlements and Gaza Operations; Syria Reports Incursions, Civilian Deaths
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Libya
Politics
World
UN Sets 12–18-Month Libya Roadmap, Egypt Voices Support
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
US Domestic Policy
Politics
U.S. Widens Visa Scrutiny, Reviewing 55 Million Holders for Violations
Authors
26
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Beijing Demands U.S. Halt Border Harassment of Chinese Students
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
Ukraine
War
Zelensky Rejects China as Security Guarantor; Beijing Reasserts Neutrality
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Poland
War
Politics
Poland Blames Russian Shahed Drone for Cornfield Blast, Denounces ‘Provocation’
Authors
35
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Crime
Venezuela Seizes Weapons Cache, Links Terror Plot to Opposition Figure
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Beijing Rejects Trump Remark, Calls Taiwan Solely China’s Affair
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Egypt
War
Politics
Egypt Denounces Reported Israeli Plans to Displace Palestinians, Vows No Participation
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
War
Politics
China Urges Inclusive Ukraine Peace Deal Ahead of Washington Talks
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Israel
War
Politics
Israel’s Ben-Gvir Films Himself Threatening Prisoner Marwan Barghouti
Authors
29
1 year ago

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