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Top stories

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

10 months ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Authors

21

10 months ago

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row

Authors

28

10 months ago

Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget

Authors

21

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge

Authors

4

10 months ago

Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks

Authors

4

10 months ago

Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions

Authors

21

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Foreign Ministry

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

2.13%chance

317223743

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6783

147

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

Mar 15, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21651170

OptionProbability

Mojtaba Khamenei

Other

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Ahmad Vahidi

Reza Pahlavi

Hassan Rouhani

No Head Of State

Alireza Arafi

Hassan Khomeini

Navid Shomali

Mohamed Amin

Ali Larijani

Masoud Pezeshkian

Maryam Rajavi

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Sadegh Larijani

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Abbas Araghchi

Mohammad Khatami

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Donald Trump

Hassan Shariatmadari

Marco Rubio

Nasir Hosseini

75

10

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.2%chance

323242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3345

299

In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?

Mar 11, 10:28 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

231042

OptionProbability

After March 31 2026.

Before 01/01 2027

During April 2026.

Within 10 days.

100

25

1

0

Will Iran physically hand over its 'nuclear dust' / enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

May 2, 7:11 PMJul 31, 10:00 PM

3.22%chance

8524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

346

84

China vs Japan Conflict before 2027?

Apr 29, 10:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11368

OptionProbability

No, status quo persists

Yes, via naval or aerial skirmish

Yes, via economic or cyber warfare

Yes

No, diplomatic tensions remain below armed conflict

82

5

5

4

4

Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?

Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

13.18%chance

7226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

39

Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

Mar 7, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.88%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

362

212

Will the US-Iran ceasefire be formally declared ended by US or Iran before July 31, 2026?

May 5, 6:40 PMJul 31, 10:00 PM

27.29%chance

12133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

91

US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?

May 18, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.88%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

Will China's Dec 2025 export rules cut NdPr supply by more than 10% in H1 2026?

Feb 20, 6:09 AMAug 19, 6:09 AM

50.73%chance

199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

910

Macinka remains a Czech minister in 2026

Jan 27, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.78%chance

296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Germany
Iran
Politics
Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move
Authors
5
10 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Economics
Politics
Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars
Authors
24
10 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Ukraine
War
Politics
Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians
Authors
21
10 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Brazil
US Foreign Policy
Tariffs
Brazil Begins Retaliation Review After Trump’s 50% Tariffs, Amid Visa Row
Authors
28
10 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Mexico
Tariffs
Economics
Mexico Plans Tariffs on Chinese Cars and Textiles in 2026 Budget
Authors
21
10 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Education
China Presses US to End Harassment of Students, Honor Trump Pledge
Authors
4
10 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Southeast Asia
China
Japan
Japan Protests China Over Third East China Sea Structure, Gas Field Development; China Rejects Protest Amid South China Sea Tensions
Authors
21
10 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
Brazil
War
Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks
Authors
4
10 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Nigeria
Japan
World
Japan Denies Special Visa Plan as Four Municipalities Face Thousands of Complaints Over JICA’s Africa Hometown; Nigeria Retracts Statement
Authors
17
10 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Caribbean
China
US Foreign Policy
China's Foreign Ministry Rebuts U.S. Southern Command Claims, Condemns Military Pressure and Freedom of Navigation Manipulation in Caribbean
Authors
6
10 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Syria
War
US Foreign Policy
US Ends Sanctions as Syria’s Al-Sharaa Plans UN Address amid Israeli Incursion
Authors
20
10 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israeli Minister’s Jordan River Claims Condemned by Jordan, Palestine; UAE Denounces Settlements and Gaza Operations; Syria Reports Incursions, Civilian Deaths
Authors
9
10 months ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Libya
Politics
World
UN Sets 12–18-Month Libya Roadmap, Egypt Voices Support
Authors
3
10 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
US Domestic Policy
Politics
U.S. Widens Visa Scrutiny, Reviewing 55 Million Holders for Violations
Authors
26
10 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Beijing Demands U.S. Halt Border Harassment of Chinese Students
Authors
4
10 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
Ukraine
War
Zelensky Rejects China as Security Guarantor; Beijing Reasserts Neutrality
Authors
11
10 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Poland
War
Politics
Poland Blames Russian Shahed Drone for Cornfield Blast, Denounces ‘Provocation’
Authors
35
10 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Crime
Venezuela Seizes Weapons Cache, Links Terror Plot to Opposition Figure
Authors
5
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Beijing Rejects Trump Remark, Calls Taiwan Solely China’s Affair
Authors
5
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Egypt
War
Politics
Egypt Denounces Reported Israeli Plans to Displace Palestinians, Vows No Participation
Authors
5
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
China
War
Politics
China Urges Inclusive Ukraine Peace Deal Ahead of Washington Talks
Authors
7
10 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Israel
War
Politics
Israel’s Ben-Gvir Films Himself Threatening Prisoner Marwan Barghouti
Authors
29
10 months ago

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