Fresh Polls Show Democrats, Republicans Locked in 2026 Dead Heat

A trio of national surveys released this week shows the fight for control of Congress in 2026 remains effectively tied, with small, fluctuating advantages switching between the parties. An Echelon Insights poll of likely voters conducted July 10–14 puts Republicans ahead by one point, 48% to 47%. Two other polls, however, give Democrats the edge: a Fabrizio survey taken July 10 shows a 44%-41% Democratic lead, while a July 14 Big Data Poll finds Democrats up 42%-41%, a three-point swing from the same firm’s previous reading that had Republicans ahead. Issue-based polling underscores the fluid landscape. A July 13 YouGov poll finds Democrats now trusted more on tax policy, 39% to 36%, reversing a three-point Republican advantage recorded a month earlier. Republicans, meanwhile, hold a 14-point lead on handling crime, according to the same survey. A Quinnipiac poll conducted July 14 indicates 64% of respondents believe the GOP looks out for the interests of upper-income Americans, compared with 20% for Democrats. Taken together, the data suggest neither party has secured a durable national advantage ahead of the mid-cycle campaign stretch, with voter sentiment shifting across issues and from poll to poll.