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Top stories

Trump’s MAGA Inc Builds $200 Million War Chest as Musk Leads Donor Surge

Trump’s MAGA Inc Builds $200 Million War Chest as Musk Leads Donor Surge

Authors

15

19 hours ago

Gavin Newsom Proposes November Special Election for Anti-Trump Redistricting as Democrats Urge Response to Texas GOP Map

Gavin Newsom Proposes November Special Election for Anti-Trump Redistricting as Democrats Urge Response to Texas GOP Map

Authors

6

2 days ago

Pfizer CEO Bourla Joins $25 Million Trump Fundraiser at Bedminster

Pfizer CEO Bourla Joins $25 Million Trump Fundraiser at Bedminster

Authors

5

8 hours ago

Musk Says Epstein Files Will Name Prominent Democrats

Authors

5

17 hours ago

US Domestic Policy

Dark Money Group Drives MAGA Blast at GOP Medicare Advantage Cuts

Authors

5

21 hours ago

Texas Republicans Propose Map Targeting Five Democratic Seats as Supreme Court Weighs Race-Based District Ban

Authors

11

2 days ago

US Domestic Policy

Thirty Mexicans Detained at Florida’s Alligator Alcatraz With Consular Support; Two Brothers Released, 76,000 Repatriated Under México te Abraza

Authors

7

3 days ago

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

U.S. Oil Refining Group Warns Trump Biofuel Policies Raise Costs, Sends Letter to GOP Lawmakers; ExxonMobil Urges EU Trade Talks

Authors

8

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Republican

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

593664075

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Donald Trump Jr

Marco Rubio

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump, Sr

Glenn Youngkin

Tulsi Gabbard

None

Nikki Haley

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tucker Carlson

Josh Hawley

Greg Abbott

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Kristi Noem

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Steven Mnuchin

Brian Kemp

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

Ivanka Trump

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

49

16

8

8

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2028 Republican nominee?

Sep 14, 5:38 AMSep 6, 6:59 AM

281137711

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump Jr

Donald Trump Sr.

Glenn Youngkin

Ron Desantis

Tulsi Gabbard

Nikki Haley

Vivek Ramaswamy

Greg Abbott

Paul Ryan

47

21

7

7

4

3

3

3

2

2

1

0

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

Jul 9, 4:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2974768

OptionProbability

Republican president, <2%

Republican president, >= 2%, <3%

Republican president, >=4%

Republican president, >= 3%, <4%

Democrat president, <2%

Democrat president, >= 2%, <3%

Democrat president, >= 3%, <4%

Democrat president, >=4%

28

27

21

20

1

1

1

1

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Jul 1, 9:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.65%chance

8837404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12909

7762

If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]

Dec 31, 1:07 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

40.49%chance

397876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

706875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5306

878

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

316829

OptionProbability

Other

J.D. Vance

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Ron DeSantis

Glenn Youngkin

Marco Rubio

Tucker Carlson

Eric Trump

Ivanka Trump

Greg Abbott

48

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

2

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

Apr 8, 12:37 PMJan 10, 5:59 AM

12.3%chance

214916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5015

4904

Poll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?

Mar 20, 7:16 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

54.32%chance

694251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

866

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

54

25

9

7

5

Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?

Jun 8, 1:32 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

22.44%chance

423595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1861

539

Trump's Republican approval below 80%?

May 12, 12:00 PMJan 20, 12:39 PM

55.64%chance

323142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1504

1469

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