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Top stories

New Orleans Marks Katrina 20th Anniversary With Memorials and Parade

US Domestic Policy

Natural Disasters

New Orleans Marks Katrina 20th Anniversary With Memorials and Parade

Authors

21

3 months ago

U.S. Judge Lets 9/11 Families’ Suit Against Saudi Arabia Proceed

U.S. Judge Lets 9/11 Families’ Suit Against Saudi Arabia Proceed

Authors

11

3 months ago

US Armed Services Chair Wicker Visits Taiwan, Reaffirms Security Ties Amid Chinese Protests

US Foreign Policy

US Armed Services Chair Wicker Visits Taiwan, Reaffirms Security Ties Amid Chinese Protests

Authors

17

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Approves $825 Million Missile Sale to Ukraine After Kyiv Strikes

Authors

41

3 months ago

GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files

Authors

12

3 months ago

Rep. Luna Moves to Force House Vote on Stock Trading Ban

Authors

5

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

ICE Deportations Under Trump Surge Toward Decade High

Authors

10

3 months ago

Vance Promotes Trump Tax-Spending Law at Wisconsin Steel Plant

Authors

15

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Congress

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41%chance

18878426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1223

869

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Jan 22, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.31%chance

2555029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40480

5753

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.57%chance

3941910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16264

6149

Will Elon Musk testify before Congress in 2025?

Oct 31, 5:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.65%chance

13436199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11029

682

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

5723488

OptionProbability

R Senate, D House

Democrats Sweep

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

54

28

16

1

1

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

39.19%chance

207525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12457

8028

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

51.18%chance

84233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

977

Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?

Nov 23, 3:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

19.93%chance

102912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2004

499

Will there be a US Sovereign Wealth Fund established by the federal government by the end of the 119th congress?

Nov 21, 6:49 PMJan 7, 4:59 AM

8.78%chance

132441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2067

52

Will Congress pass sweeping deregulatory measures by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.67%chance

221831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1296

772

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Elon Musk testifies before Congress by 2028?

Apr 16, 3:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.49%chance

8343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1237

808

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