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Prediction markets for Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.93%chance

197333893

OptionVotes

YES

1469

806

Will Bitcoin trade above $400k before it falls below $40k?

Dec 25, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

34.69%chance

6658491

OptionVotes

YES

1113

677

Bitcoin below $60K in 2026?

Dec 29, 12:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72%chance

12256211

OptionVotes

YES

1605

624

Will bitcoin hit $300k before 2040-01-23?

Jun 2, 6:14 AMJan 24, 12:59 AM

75%chance

3219644

OptionVotes

YES

1754

527

Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?

Jul 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.35%chance

3110561

OptionVotes

YES

2010

1984

Bitcoin $130K in 2026?

Jan 2, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17%chance

348683

OptionVotes

YES

2210

453

Will Bitcoin Outperform Altcoins in 2026?

Feb 6, 5:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.18%chance

198386

OptionVotes

YES

12040

8306

Bitcoin $120K in 2026?

Jan 2, 5:21 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

23%chance

295244

OptionVotes

YES

1832

547

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

66.3%chance

72461

OptionProbability

YES

4576

2499

Drivechain: Bitcoin prices x drivechain merge by 2028

Nov 17, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41960

OptionProbability

No Drivechain // <= $100k

No Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // <= $100k

Bitcoin below $25K in 2026?

Feb 5, 9:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4%chance

121104

OptionVotes

YES

348

Bitcoin Hashrate at end of 2028

Jan 1, 8:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Above 750 EH/s

Above 1000 EH/s

Above 1250 EH/s

Above 1500 EH/s

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
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