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Top stories

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

US Foreign Policy

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

Authors

16

7 months ago

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Authors

8

7 months ago

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

Authors

3

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

Authors

4

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes

Authors

8

7 months ago

Turkey Links Syria Stability to Its Security, Backs Damascus Unity Efforts

Authors

4

7 months ago

Syria’s Sharaa Rejects Israel Normalisation While Golan Stays Occupied

Authors

3

7 months ago

Israel Stages Rare Airborne Raid Near Damascus After Successive Strikes

Authors

18

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Syria

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

18.79%chance

515104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2079

481

Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?

Jan 31, 12:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16.62%chance

251117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

45

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

🇸🇾 Syria signs Abraham Accords by the end of Trump's term?

Jul 3, 7:23 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

20.36%chance

12665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?

Feb 4, 10:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.58%chance

12560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

43

Will Syria federalize before 2030?

Nov 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.02%chance

20358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Will Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?

Jan 20, 7:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.92%chance

9231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

319

31

How democratic will Syria be in 2025, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

6196

OptionProbability

Closed Autocracy

Electoral Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

58

35

4

3

Will alcohol be banned in Syria by the end of 2026?

Jan 20, 1:50 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

39.76%chance

771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

100

Will Turkey annex any portion of Syria by EOY2030? (even by establishing an informal gvmt?)

Dec 9, 10:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.78%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

How democratic will Syria be in 2028, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

250

OptionProbability

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

27

27

27

19

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

25

25

25

25

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