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Top stories

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

US Foreign Policy

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

Authors

16

1 year ago

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Authors

8

1 year ago

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

Authors

3

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

Authors

4

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes

Authors

8

1 year ago

Turkey Links Syria Stability to Its Security, Backs Damascus Unity Efforts

Authors

4

1 year ago

Syria’s Sharaa Rejects Israel Normalisation While Golan Stays Occupied

Authors

3

1 year ago

Israel Stages Rare Airborne Raid Near Damascus After Successive Strikes

Authors

18

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Syria

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

13.27%chance

545568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2556

391

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

393903

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be Secular?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

29

16

11

10

Will Syria recognize Israel during Trump's second term?

Apr 24, 11:10 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

38.26%chance

191032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

11.49%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

61

Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?

Feb 4, 10:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32%chance

18864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

69

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

Will Syria federalize before 2030?

Nov 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.02%chance

20358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Will Syria and Israel go to war by 2030

Dec 8, 9:40 PMJan 16, 12:59 PM

54.47%chance

10274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

91

When will Ahmed al-Sharaa cease to be president of Syria?

Sep 24, 4:19 PMDec 31, 5:16 PM

4167

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2035

After 2035

2027-2028

2025-2026

21

21

21

20

13

4

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will alcohol be banned in Syria by the end of 2026?

Jan 20, 1:50 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

43.7%chance

986

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

91

How democratic will Syria be in 2029, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

252

OptionProbability

Closed Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

49

17

17

17

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