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Top stories

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

US Foreign Policy

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

Authors

16

8 months ago

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Authors

8

8 months ago

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

Authors

3

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

Authors

4

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes

Authors

8

8 months ago

Turkey Links Syria Stability to Its Security, Backs Damascus Unity Efforts

Authors

4

8 months ago

Syria’s Sharaa Rejects Israel Normalisation While Golan Stays Occupied

Authors

3

8 months ago

Israel Stages Rare Airborne Raid Near Damascus After Successive Strikes

Authors

18

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Syria

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

15.27%chance

535367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2355

425

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

352101

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

Will Syria be Secular?

28

25

19

18

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

11.49%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

61

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

What will the Economist Democracy Index of Syria be in 2026?

Sep 25, 1:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2623

OptionProbability

1 - 1.99

2 - 2.99

3 - 3.99

0 - 0.99

4 - 5.99

6 - 7.99

8 - 10

22

22

22

15

15

3

2

Will "US forces in Syria and Iraq will be driven out within 2 - 3 years"?

Aug 27, 10:30 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

26.13%chance

9501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

86

Will Syria federalize before 2030?

Nov 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.02%chance

20358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

When will Ahmed al-Sharaa cease to be president of Syria?

Sep 24, 4:19 PMDec 31, 5:16 PM

3137

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2035

After 2035

2027-2028

2025-2026

21

20

20

20

13

5

How democratic will Syria be in 2027, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

383

OptionProbability

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

Electoral Democracy

Liberal Democracy

45

31

18

6

What will FCDO travel advice to Syria be at the start of 2029?

Dec 12, 1:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

447

OptionProbability

Advise against all travel

Advise against all travel to parts

Advise against all but essential travel

Advise against all but essential travel to parts

No travel advisory

Other

19

17

17

17

17

11

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

25

25

25

25

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