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Top stories

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

US Foreign Policy

Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence

Authors

16

11 months ago

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Netanyahu Confirms Talks on Demilitarized Zone and Humanitarian Corridor in Al-Suweida Amid Israeli Strikes and Druze Protection Efforts

Authors

8

11 months ago

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Envoy Presses Netanyahu to Curb Lebanon Strikes, Advance Syria Talks

Authors

3

11 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

Authors

4

11 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes

Authors

8

11 months ago

Turkey Links Syria Stability to Its Security, Backs Damascus Unity Efforts

Authors

4

11 months ago

Syria’s Sharaa Rejects Israel Normalisation While Golan Stays Occupied

Authors

3

11 months ago

Israel Stages Rare Airborne Raid Near Damascus After Successive Strikes

Authors

18

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Syria

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

13.27%chance

545568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2556

391

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

383403

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be Secular?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

29

21

14

13

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

What will the Economist Democracy Index of Syria be in 2026?

Sep 25, 1:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2623

OptionProbability

1 - 1.99

2 - 2.99

3 - 3.99

0 - 0.99

4 - 5.99

6 - 7.99

8 - 10

22

22

22

15

15

3

2

Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?

Mar 30, 6:33 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

14.97%chance

13456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will Syria federalize before 2030?

Nov 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.02%chance

20358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Will the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?

Dec 11, 3:30 PMDec 10, 4:59 AM

87.72%chance

7330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

276

39

Will Syria and Israel go to war by 2030

Dec 8, 9:40 PMJan 16, 12:59 PM

54.47%chance

10274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

91

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

How democratic will Syria be in 2028, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

250

OptionProbability

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

27

27

27

19

What will FCDO travel advice to Syria be at the start of 2029?

Dec 12, 1:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

447

OptionProbability

Advise against all travel

Advise against all travel to parts

Advise against all but essential travel

Advise against all but essential travel to parts

No travel advisory

Other

19

17

17

17

17

11

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

25

25

25

25

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