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Top stories

Trump Threatens Lawsuit to Overturn Senate Blue Slip Tradition

Trump Threatens Lawsuit to Overturn Senate Blue Slip Tradition

Authors

12

5 months ago

Fifth Circuit Backs Suppressor Conviction as Tenth Circuit Questions Gun Ban for Marijuana Users

Fifth Circuit Backs Suppressor Conviction as Tenth Circuit Questions Gun Ban for Marijuana Users

Authors

3

5 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

5 months ago

Trump Moves to Reinstate DC Death Penalty After Homicide Ends 12-Day Lull

Authors

14

5 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Trump Uses Federal Power for Retribution, Tests Legal Guardrails

Authors

12

5 months ago

Executive Orders

Trump Order Targeting Flag Burning Tests First-Amendment Limits

Authors

15

5 months ago

California GOP Sues Over Maps, Floats Two-State Split Amid Redistricting Fight

Authors

34

5 months ago

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

Authors

15

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Supreme Court

Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?

Aug 22, 11:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.12%chance

12765974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21073

3663

Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?

Jul 22, 12:56 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM

10.13%chance

9941770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2901

249

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

8.09%chance

2426356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33707

2967

Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?

Oct 17, 7:08 PMOct 17, 11:59 PM

69.67%chance

1914646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15156

6598

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

33.39%chance

5710832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

365

[ACX 2026] How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

348038

OptionProbability

Mixed ruling

Tariffs unlawful

Tariffs lawful

Other ruling

No 2026 ruling

43

29

24

2

2

When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?

Apr 12, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

336719

OptionProbability

After 2070 (or never)

2036-2040

2029-2035

2061-2065

2041-2045

2046-2050

2066-2070

By 2028

2051-2055

2056-2060

40

18

14

10

5

3

3

2

2

2

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

Apr 12, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.6%chance

506577

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5328

1451

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.05%chance

296091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6239

2225

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

72.3%chance

395390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3436

2195

Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?

Nov 7, 6:15 PMJan 20, 8:59 PM

32.31%chance

435053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1447

691

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.2%chance

113470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10161

9841

Latest stories

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