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Prediction markets for Alaska

Will there be any Russian attacks or troop deployments in Alaska before eoy2025?

Sep 27, 7:58 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

2.2%chance

4212055

OptionVotes

YES

6663

150

What exactly caused the 737MAX Alaska Airlines rapid depressurisation incident?

Jan 6, 10:56 PMFeb 28, 10:59 PM

377484

OptionProbability

Improperly secured door plug

Improperly secured bolt or connector

Negligence by Boeing

Negligence by a Maintenance and Repair Contractor other than Alaska/Hawaiian Airlines

Negligence by Alaska Airlines

Negligence by a parts supplier (other than Boeing)

Unspecified general Design Flaw

Excessive cabin pressurization: fault in pressurization system, air pressure sensors or software controlling cabin pressure

Will Alaska use RCV in the 2028 presidential general election?

Jan 21, 1:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.03%chance

141399

OptionVotes

YES

567

Is the Unidentified Car-sized Object over Alaska of Chinese origin?

Feb 11, 3:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.79%chance

211171

OptionVotes

YES

1307

804

Is the Unidentified Car-sized Object over Alaska of Russian origin?

Feb 11, 3:25 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

4.12%chance

14925

OptionVotes

YES

1779

906

Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Nov 27, 4:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14846

OptionProbability

Republican party

Democratic party

Other

Is the Unidentified Car-sized Object over Alaska of North Korean origin?

Feb 11, 3:26 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3.6%chance

15845

OptionVotes

YES

1768

918

Will construction begin on a bridge between Russia and Alaska by the end of 2029?

Aug 15, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

14717

OptionVotes

YES

569

Will Alaska legalise sports betting by the end of 2027?

Sep 3, 4:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.63%chance

4180

OptionVotes

YES

1070

935

Will there be an oil spill in Alaska before 2030?

Oct 24, 12:48 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

78.69%chance

7153

OptionVotes

YES

255

130

Will Kipply switch from Alaska to Spirit/Frontier by Dec 31, 2025?

May 31, 11:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.13%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will a Democrat win Alaska for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:36 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

65%chance

223

OptionVotes

YES

113

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