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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

11 months ago

Mauritanian Coast Guard Says Up to 69 Migrants Dead in Atlantic Capsize

Mauritanian Coast Guard Says Up to 69 Migrants Dead in Atlantic Capsize

Authors

11

11 months ago

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Authors

16

11 months ago

French Unions Call 18 September Strikes Over Bayrou’s 2026 Budget

Authors

15

11 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Portugal’s President Calls Trump ‘Russian Asset,’ Pressuring NATO Unity

Authors

10

11 months ago

German Unemployment Tops 3 Million as Prolonged Slump Hits Labor Market

Authors

19

11 months ago

Moscow Rejects Western Security Plan for Ukraine, Warns Against NATO Troops

Authors

12

11 months ago

Germany and France Seek Secondary Sanctions on Russia’s Backers

Authors

5

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Europe

How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?

Jun 27, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41130717

OptionProbability

increased sanitation / hygiene / clean air+water

all other cuases

vaccines and antibiotics

medical ex-vaccines/antibiotics

improved diet

reduced war / homicide / execution / child abandonment

26

21

20

18

17

11

Will Europe evolve into a united nation by 2030?

Aug 27, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.46%chance

3814231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6300

159

Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?

May 18, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47%chance

478638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

942

Will the UK be the best performing country by GDP growth in Europe in 2028

Feb 27, 11:45 AMDec 27, 3:59 PM

14.49%chance

326484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

957

Will Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?

Mar 18, 5:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.36%chance

223207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3112

321

Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?

Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.27%chance

262759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2115

473

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

28.83%chance

5949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1571

636

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

Will Vladimir Putin ever visit Europe?

Jan 16, 4:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.39%chance

16656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

672

Will an intercity highspeed / Maglev (>500 km/h) passenger train operate in Europe before 2035?

Jul 27, 3:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.65%chance

18536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1332

938

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

930

Will US GDP per capita exceed 10x Western Europe's before 2050?

Mar 7, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.24%chance

7271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

964

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