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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

8 months ago

Mauritanian Coast Guard Says Up to 69 Migrants Dead in Atlantic Capsize

Mauritanian Coast Guard Says Up to 69 Migrants Dead in Atlantic Capsize

Authors

11

8 months ago

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Authors

16

8 months ago

French Unions Call 18 September Strikes Over Bayrou’s 2026 Budget

Authors

15

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Portugal’s President Calls Trump ‘Russian Asset,’ Pressuring NATO Unity

Authors

10

8 months ago

German Unemployment Tops 3 Million as Prolonged Slump Hits Labor Market

Authors

19

8 months ago

Moscow Rejects Western Security Plan for Ukraine, Warns Against NATO Troops

Authors

12

8 months ago

Germany and France Seek Secondary Sanctions on Russia’s Backers

Authors

5

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Europe

How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?

Jun 27, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41130717

OptionProbability

increased sanitation / hygiene / clean air+water

all other cuases

vaccines and antibiotics

medical ex-vaccines/antibiotics

improved diet

reduced war / homicide / execution / child abandonment

26

21

20

18

17

11

Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?

May 18, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47%chance

478638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

942

Will the winner of Eurovision 2026 come from Europe?

Feb 2, 7:25 AMMay 17, 12:00 AM

88.83%chance

324990

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2078

784

Will a nation outside of Europe or South America make it to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?

Aug 9, 1:31 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

16.37%chance

344496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

871

Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?

Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.32%chance

252509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1865

536

Will Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?

Mar 18, 5:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.29%chance

202152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2114

473

Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup come from Europe?

Aug 6, 2:12 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

72.24%chance

201297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1224

894

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

28.83%chance

5949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1571

636

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

Will Vladimir Putin ever visit Europe?

Jan 16, 4:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.39%chance

16656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

672

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

930

Will US GDP per capita exceed 10x Western Europe's before 2050?

Mar 7, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.24%chance

6211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

964

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