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Top stories

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

8 months ago

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Authors

7

8 months ago

UN Says Iran Has Executed 841 People in 2025, Urges Moratorium

UN Says Iran Has Executed 841 People in 2025, Urges Moratorium

Authors

13

8 months ago

Russia Warns of Irreparable Consequences from European-Led UN Sanctions Reimposition on Iran's Nuclear Program, Rejects Blame on Tehran

Authors

5

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Israel Intensifies Gaza Strikes as Washington Debates Post-War Plan

Authors

13

8 months ago

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

Authors

73

8 months ago

Iran Offers to Restart Nuclear Talks if Counterparts Show Goodwill

Authors

5

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Germany, France and Britain Urge Iran to Revive Nuclear Talks

Authors

3

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Iran

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.98%chance

18802670966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22869

6136

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

36.28%chance

201368396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1326

755

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24148516

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?

Mar 3, 4:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

20474029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1961

323

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24%chance

19155378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8691

3336

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

24.48%chance

9116327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

485

77

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.4%chance

7513578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5631

2836

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.89%chance

879459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7055

5411

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.02%chance

437396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4356

230

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.11%chance

316999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2469

969

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Mar 16, 5:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

58.44%chance

222580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2013

1883

Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30, 2026?

Apr 16, 5:41 PMJun 30, 10:00 PM

27%chance

191076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

92

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