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Top stories

Microsoft Embeds Copilot AI in Edge Browser, Offers Free Trial

Microsoft Embeds Copilot AI in Edge Browser, Offers Free Trial

Authors

44

5 days ago

Pew Finds Google AI Summaries Cut Clicks as Chatbot Referrals Climb

Pew Finds Google AI Summaries Cut Clicks as Chatbot Referrals Climb

Authors

10

6 days ago

Leak Shows Meta ‘Celeste’ HUD Glasses Shipping With Neural Wristband

Leak Shows Meta ‘Celeste’ HUD Glasses Shipping With Neural Wristband

Authors

12

2 days ago

Nvidia-Backed Perplexity Courts Samsung and Airtel in Push for AI Browser Comet

Authors

11

9 days ago

Google Unveils ‘Web Guide’ AI Experiment to Cluster Search Results

Authors

6

9 days ago

Mercedes-Benz Integrates Microsoft Teams With In-Car Camera, Intune, and AI Copilot Into New CLA Model

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11

8 days ago

Proton Launches Lumo, Encrypted AI Chatbot With $12.99 Plus Tier

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13

10 days ago

Google to Unveil Pixel 10 Series Including Pro Fold, Tensor G5 Chip, Qi2 25W Charging, and Pixel Watch 4 on August 20

Authors

63

11 days ago

Prediction markets for AI

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.24%chance

38619964351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10874

10474

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.91%chance

8004166167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3734

1787

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.93%chance

24011729731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9044

2672

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

6.06%chance

4631710990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6263

1698

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.11%chance

940600462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11210

8825

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

29.62%chance

792419119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25144

17456

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.5%chance

455372687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3723

1531

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.09%chance

201282138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4175

1332

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

59.91%chance

176211240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5780

3435

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

71%chance

227113703

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1565

639

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Mar 14, 8:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

56%chance

20846475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2518

1141

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Jul 19, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.56%chance

6015052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9919

9893

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