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Top stories

Aston Martin Cuts 2025 Targets as Trump Tariffs Hit U.S. Sales

Company Earnings

Aston Martin Cuts 2025 Targets as Trump Tariffs Hit U.S. Sales

Authors

5

3 days ago

TV Hosts Cat Deeley and Patrick Kielty Announce Separation After 13 Years

TV Hosts Cat Deeley and Patrick Kielty Announce Separation After 13 Years

Authors

3

4 days ago

Tottenham Captain Son Heung-min Announces Departure After Decade

Tottenham Captain Son Heung-min Announces Departure After Decade

Authors

9

3 hours ago

Company Earnings

HSBC and StanChart Chiefs Push Back on UK Tax Rises and Office Mandates

Authors

3

2 days ago

Evercore to Acquire British Boutique Robey Warshaw for $196 Million Including Ex-Chancellor Osborne; Brookfield Buys Just Group for £2.4 Billion

Authors

9

2 days ago

US Dollar Strengthens as US and EU Rush to Finalize Trade Deal Amid Euro Decline and British Pound Lows

Authors

9

4 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Calls London Mayor Sadiq Khan 'Nasty Person' and 'Terrible Job' as Starmer Defends Him Ahead of London Visit

Authors

22

5 days ago

GSK Pays $500 Million for Hengrui COPD Drug, Eyes $12 Billion Pipeline

Authors

15

5 days ago

Prediction markets for British

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6260929

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Nigel Farage

Other

Robert Jenrick

Kemi Badenoch

Angela Rayner

James Cleverly

Jeremy Clarkson

Jeremy Corbyn

Boris Johnson

Richard Tice

Rupert Lowe

Ed Davey

Idris Elba

34

26

19

6

5

4

3

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will Ukraine use British Storm Shadow cruise missiles to attack the Kerch Bridge?

May 13, 1:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

26.19%chance

606735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1621

634

Will White British People Become a Minority in the United Kingdom by 2060?

Sep 1, 3:01 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.7%chance

333681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

949

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

51.12%chance

542873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1221

562

Will @Devansh have a British accent by 2027

Aug 26, 2:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

17.01%chance

162182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

639

Will Sir David Attenborough (British broadcaster, biologist, historian and author) live to 100 years old?

Aug 3, 9:11 AMMay 8, 10:59 PM

65.94%chance

472079

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1259

819

Will the US join the British Commonwealth by 2030?

Mar 21, 4:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.11%chance

181088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

681

15

Golf: Who will win the 2026 Open Championship (British Open)?

Jul 20, 5:58 PMJul 19, 10:59 PM

3555

OptionProbability

Other

Scottie Scheffler

Rory McIlroy

65

18

18

Which will be the next country to renounce the British Royal Family and become a Republic?

Oct 26, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8374

OptionProbability

Papua New Guinea

Jamaica

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

Australia

Belize

Other

Antigua and Barbuda

None by market close

India

New Zealand

Canada

The Bahamas

Grenada

Saint Kitts & Nevis

Saint Lucia

Solomon Islands

Tuvalu

The United Kingdom

49

22

13

6

5

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

In the winter of 2035-2036, will we get enough snow in Barriere, British Columbia to have a decent snowball fight?

Dec 11, 3:25 AMApr 1, 4:00 AM

74.77%chance

12294

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

941

Will there be any British detainees in Guantanamo Bay in 2025?

Jun 11, 10:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.55%chance

5190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will "Explaining British Naval Dominance During the..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 12:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.96%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

732

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