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Top stories

UK Government Sought Bulk Interception and Global Access to Encrypted Apple iCloud Data, Court Filings Show

UK Government Sought Bulk Interception and Global Access to Encrypted Apple iCloud Data, Court Filings Show

Authors

7

5 months ago

Prince Harry Returns to UK for WellChild Awards, Eyes Meeting With King Charles

Prince Harry Returns to UK for WellChild Awards, Eyes Meeting With King Charles

Authors

15

5 months ago

HMS Prince of Wales Arrives in Tokyo as UK, Japan Tighten Defence Ties

HMS Prince of Wales Arrives in Tokyo as UK, Japan Tighten Defence Ties

Authors

14

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

UK and Japan Announce Historic F-15 Deployment in Britain, First Joint Defense Statement, British Carrier Visit

Authors

6

5 months ago

HSBC Restores UK Online Banking After Midday Outage

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5

5 months ago

Britain’s Jack Draper Withdraws From US Open With Arm Injury

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4

5 months ago

Musk Pledges Funding for Lawsuits Over UK Grooming Gang Failures

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14

5 months ago

Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan

Authors

3

5 months ago

Prediction markets for British

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9282048

OptionProbability

Nigel Farage

Keir Starmer

Other

Andy Burnham

Kemi Badenoch

Angela Rayner

Wes Streeting

Matt Clifford

Rupert Lowe

Zack Polanski

Ed Miliband

Robert Jenrick

James Cleverly

Ed Davey

Boris Johnson

Louise Haigh

Lawrence Newport

Rachel Reeves

Danny Kruger

Jeremy Clarkson

Jeremy Corbyn

Richard Tice

Idris Elba

30

13

13

9

8

5

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will White British People Become a Minority in the United Kingdom by 2060?

Sep 1, 3:01 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

64.17%chance

364484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

895

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

41.25%chance

543032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

426

Will Sir David Attenborough (British broadcaster, biologist, historian and author) live to 100 years old?

Aug 3, 9:11 AMMay 8, 10:59 PM

79.97%chance

502703

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1884

594

Will @Devansh have a British accent by 2027

Aug 26, 2:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

17.01%chance

162182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

639

Will the US grant British Jews asylum before EOY 2028?

Jan 19, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.5%chance

61195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2099

477

French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?

Mar 4, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67%chance

22687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Who will win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Dec 26, 8:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4300

OptionProbability

Caroline Elliott

Bruce Banman

Other

Iain Black

Sheldon Clare

Harman Bhangu

Peter Milobar

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Chris Gardner

Warren Hamm

Darrell Jones

No one by December 31, 2026

Yuri Fulmer

48

8

8

6

6

5

4

3

3

3

3

2

1

In the winter of 2035-2036, will we get enough snow in Barriere, British Columbia to have a decent snowball fight?

Dec 11, 3:25 AMApr 1, 4:00 AM

74.77%chance

12294

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

941

Britons' pride in British history increases by 2026?

Aug 12, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

7203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

905

Will a British Mach 5 Aircraft powered by a SABRE-derived engine fly before 2035?

Jul 16, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.89%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

58

Will "Explaining British Naval Dominance During the..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 12:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.96%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

732

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