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Prediction markets for Ukrainian

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.86%chance

634270682

OptionVotes

YES

16133

13631

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

37%chance

201130638

OptionVotes

YES

1200

777

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM

66.07%chance

26538423

OptionVotes

YES

1426

660

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

3513953

OptionVotes

YES

9603

3111

Will Zelensky survive the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.81%chance

384025

OptionVotes

YES

1177

943

Will Ukrainians who came to USA under the U4U program be allowed to legally stay for 5+ years?

Jul 29, 11:12 PMMar 16, 6:59 AM

52.37%chance

513895

OptionVotes

YES

1099

839

Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.43%chance

482406

OptionVotes

YES

1603

785

Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2030?

Jun 17, 2:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.85%chance

301772

OptionVotes

YES

1027

967

Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?

Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.36%chance

391532

OptionVotes

YES

1746

485

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?

Aug 15, 8:08 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

23.84%chance

51187

OptionVotes

YES

1787

559

Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over?

Aug 2, 4:02 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

56.45%chance

19687

OptionVotes

YES

1138

878

Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?

Jun 29, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.11%chance

14372

OptionVotes

YES

1003

984

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