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Prediction markets for Ukrainian

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.52%chance

659285803

OptionVotes

YES

19636

11900

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

34.89%chance

213142058

OptionVotes

YES

1259

744

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM

68.48%chance

26738505

OptionVotes

YES

1502

624

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.37%chance

4826223

OptionVotes

YES

20093

1745

Will Zelensky survive the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.44%chance

414425

OptionVotes

YES

1577

874

Will Ukrainians who came to USA under the U4U program be allowed to legally stay for 5+ years?

Jul 29, 11:12 PMMar 16, 6:59 AM

32.4%chance

534420

OptionVotes

YES

1545

514

Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.32%chance

482414

OptionVotes

YES

1595

787

Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2030?

Jun 17, 2:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.85%chance

301772

OptionVotes

YES

1027

967

Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?

Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.36%chance

391532

OptionVotes

YES

1746

485

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?

Aug 15, 8:08 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

23.84%chance

51187

OptionVotes

YES

1787

559

Will Ukrainian drones hit Kaliningrad before the war is over?

Aug 2, 4:02 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

53.15%chance

21747

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?

Jun 29, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.11%chance

14372

OptionVotes

YES

1003

984

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