ABC News
Top stories
Prediction markets for ABC
OptionProbability
100
100
100
99
99
98
94
92
60
30
27
17
17
15
12
10
6
4
3
2
1
0
OptionProbability
72
59
50
46
38
37
36
30
25
22
14
13
11
6
JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029
Feb 7, 5:57 PMJun 1, 11:00 PM
15%chance
5210060
OptionVotes
2380
420
Is Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Oct 16, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:30 PM
56%chance
255534
OptionVotes
7401
2456
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.61%chance
271389
OptionVotes
1167
885
By EOY 2034, what unexpected views of math will be changed by (superhuman) AI?
Mar 21, 9:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
241164
OptionProbability
97
41
37
31
25
14
10
9
Kirti-Mochizuki proof of the ABC conjecture is correct.
Sep 10, 11:00 PMSep 17, 10:59 PM
17.27%chance
12574
OptionVotes
219
46
OptionVotes
270
133
What TV shows/stations will get yanked due to Trump? (add answers)
Sep 18, 7:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
9384
OptionProbability
35
34
23
20
20
10
5
4
Will Pauline Hanson run for the house (not senate) in the 2028 Australian election?
May 25, 1:18 PMJul 1, 12:59 AM
49.73%chance
4140
OptionVotes
1005
995
OptionVotes
186
54
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