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Prediction markets for Nvidia

Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?

Jun 19, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.94%chance

7713194

OptionVotes

YES

2296

436

In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?

Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

14%chance

9611021

OptionVotes

YES

2557

268

[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.96%chance

219568

OptionVotes

YES

6326

4880

Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?

May 23, 9:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.48%chance

336021

OptionVotes

YES

1219

866

Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:44 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

47.64%chance

224128

OptionVotes

YES

1052

957

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.07%chance

493498

OptionVotes

YES

3128

1421

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Nvidia?

Mar 18, 6:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.39%chance

352685

OptionVotes

YES

2257

1337

Nvidia stock at $100 or below by 2028

Oct 20, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.02%chance

102428

OptionVotes

YES

2208

453

Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?

Jan 4, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.2%chance

172097

OptionVotes

YES

1080

928

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70.56%chance

261072

OptionVotes

YES

1014

904

Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?

Mar 17, 12:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2202

OptionVotes

YES

1202

832

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.23%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

1119

949

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