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Prediction markets for Israel

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

112190087

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2027

Jan - Jun 2027

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

Jan - Jun 2025

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2026

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16%chance

364112279

OptionVotes

YES

2272

996

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.01%chance

9743459

OptionVotes

YES

6107

4377

Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 31, 11:32 AMJun 23, 5:59 AM

70%chance

8834622

OptionVotes

YES

1603

256

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

5133992

OptionVotes

YES

28090

2258

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.37%chance

11815348

OptionVotes

YES

4955

621

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

25.34%chance

5911690

OptionVotes

YES

1489

764

Will Bibi still be the prime minister of Israel in 2027?

Aug 7, 11:44 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

63.01%chance

567457

OptionVotes

YES

1457

366

In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?

Jun 5, 11:02 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

64.57%chance

92190

OptionVotes

YES

1350

741

Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?

Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

61.83%chance

112048

OptionVotes

YES

1138

717

Will Israel authorize the sale of offensive military equipment to Ukraine?

Sep 10, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.14%chance

22917

OptionVotes

YES

1159

827

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Yes, Israel

Yes, Both U.S. and Israel

No, and the year is before 2030

Peak oil occurs 2030 or later

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