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Prediction markets for Israel

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6678919

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2025

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.94%chance

27874614

OptionVotes

YES

1885

1080

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30973505

OptionProbability

1500-2500

2500-3500

5000+

1000-1500

3500-5000

0-500

500-1000

Will Israel annex a part of the West Bank by the end of 2025?

Nov 17, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

15541706

OptionVotes

YES

3000

333

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

Jan 22, 6:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.66%chance

4720282

OptionVotes

YES

24783

2497

Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?

Oct 22, 5:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.36%chance

5619635

OptionVotes

YES

1222

571

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.38%chance

11314826

OptionVotes

YES

6748

407

Will Israel annex a part of Gaza by the end of 2025?

Nov 17, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.43%chance

4913203

OptionVotes

YES

2655

377

Will I support Israel (Yes) or Palestine (No) after talking to Manifold?

Jul 31, 6:14 PMAug 30, 5:48 PM

49.78%chance

10911805

OptionVotes

YES

1080

830

Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?

Nov 13, 6:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.15%chance

5010715

OptionVotes

YES

2570

389

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

24.45%chance

519734

OptionVotes

YES

1533

749

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.59%chance

189235

OptionVotes

YES

14919

9525

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