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Prediction markets for Italy

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.89%chance

375903

OptionVotes

YES

1094

742

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

56.25%chance

334974

OptionVotes

YES

1211

786

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Feb 22, 1:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

75.61%chance

454834

OptionVotes

YES

1717

181

Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister?

Feb 22, 12:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

343973

OptionProbability

Giorgia Meloni

Giuseppe Conte

Elly Schlein

Roberto Vannacci

Silvia Salis

Other

Roberto Gualtieri

Massimiliano Romeo

Alessandro Onorato

Gaetano Manfredi

Giorgio Gori

Matteo Salvini

Antonio Tajani

Mario Draghi

Matteo Renzi

Carlo Calenda

Stefano Bandecchi

Luca Zaia

Stefano Bonaccini

Beppe Sala

Vincenzo De Luca

Maurizio Landini

Michele Boldrin

Antonio Decaro

Roberto Fico

Paolo Gentiloni

Angelo Bonelli

Nicola Fratoianni

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

9.69%chance

363661

OptionVotes

YES

3053

328

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

24.33%chance

212416

OptionVotes

YES

1009

922

Will Italy be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Dec 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

89.99%chance

241613

OptionVotes

YES

1173

956

Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?

Dec 16, 8:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

91.43%chance

15609

OptionVotes

YES

1343

938

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

Jan 19, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.89%chance

3406

OptionVotes

YES

10051

9986

Italy Stock (Permanent)

Dec 17, 3:51 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

643

OptionProbability

YES

147

117

Conditional on a Sicily-mainland bridge being built, will unemployment in Sicily decrease wrt to Italy?

Oct 26, 2:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will Italy bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

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