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Prediction markets for United States

Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

Aug 13, 7:21 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM

531459222

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

AOC (NY Representative)

Pete Buttigieg (Secretary of Transportation)

Marco Rubio (US SoS)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Donald Trump (45th President)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Cory Booker (NJ Senator)

Ruben Gallego (AZ Senator)

Tulsi Gabbard (DNI)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Stephen A. Smith

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Jun 1, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.86%chance

120250553

OptionVotes

YES

140042

27564

Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Aug 18, 4:14 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

465224199

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

JB Pritzker

Jamie Dimon

Mark Kelly

None

Ron DeSantis

Andy Beshear

Nikki Haley

Michelle Obama

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

Tulsi Gabbard

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Walz

John Fetterman

Mark Cuban

Ruben Gallego

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Biden

Tim Scott

Katie Hobbs

Greg Abbott

Elizabeth Warren

Mike Johnson

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Jared Polis

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Elise Stefanik

Kristi Noem

Nicole Shanahan

Scott Alexander

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

George Clooney

Tom Hanks

Steven Pinker

Patrick Stewart

George R R Martin

Noah Smith

Matt Yglesias

Kanye West

Doug Burgum

Jeff Jackson

Glenn Youngkin

Barack Obama

Oprah Winfrey

Hillary Clinton

Joe Rogan

Ro Khanna

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

31.26%chance

149156858

OptionVotes

YES

1413

732

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

16173011

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.45%chance

5770012

OptionVotes

YES

35400

2950

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

4.35%chance

6067803

OptionVotes

YES

48055

4101

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

73.95%chance

14846589

OptionVotes

YES

1745

307

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.91%chance

9443785

OptionVotes

YES

1046

921

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM

6.6%chance

2331641

OptionVotes

YES

37615

2659

Will I get a job in the United States in 2025?

Jun 30, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.8%chance

2626866

OptionVotes

YES

30338

3296

What will be the party of the next President of the United States?

Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

174049

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

Other

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