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Prediction markets for Israeli

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

31374211

OptionProbability

1500-2500

2500-3500

1000-1500

5000+

3500-5000

0-500

500-1000

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

42.34%chance

6826182

OptionVotes

YES

1088

862

Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?

May 30, 3:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.55%chance

2914703

OptionVotes

YES

1211

826

Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies

Mar 2, 4:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.81%chance

279331

OptionVotes

YES

1399

715

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️

Nov 18, 4:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.6%chance

303857

OptionVotes

YES

2381

520

When will the next elections for the Israeli parliament (Knesset) occur?

Nov 15, 1:24 PMOct 31, 10:00 PM

73097

OptionProbability

October 2026 or later

September 2026

July 2026

August 2026

June 2026

May 2026

January 2026 or earlier

February 2026

March 2026

April 2026

Will an Israeli participate in IOI 2026

Aug 5, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.48%chance

102983

OptionVotes

YES

2173

460

Will the Likud win the next Israeli election

Nov 2, 4:20 PMNov 10, 4:59 AM

51.23%chance

312735

OptionVotes

YES

1296

465

Will the current Israeli government last ~a full term?

Jan 6, 4:03 PMJun 30, 8:59 PM

62.85%chance

211932

OptionVotes

YES

1475

282

Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded by 2026?

Dec 29, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27%chance

301023

OptionVotes

YES

1019

925

Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?

Oct 20, 3:51 PMOct 21, 6:59 AM

12.78%chance

21859

OptionVotes

YES

1056

968

Will the civilian death rate from Israeli airstrikes be 60% or higher at the conclusion of the current Palestine war?

Dec 10, 12:20 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

91%chance

12525

OptionVotes

YES

1265

942

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