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Prediction markets for Japanese

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

41.25%chance

543032

OptionVotes

YES

1379

426

Will a Japanese astronaut land on Moon by 2035?

Mar 11, 11:13 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

65.5%chance

18606

OptionVotes

YES

1173

862

How many Japanese words will Tetra know on January 1st 2027?

Mar 25, 7:10 PMMar 25, 11:59 PM

4535

OptionProbability

700 - 899

900 - 1099

500 - 699

300 - 499

1100 - 1299

1300 - 1500

Above 1500

Below 300

Will the lifespan of manga writers/artists be within ten years of the average Japanese male by the end of 2032?

Mar 21, 6:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.37%chance

6132

OptionVotes

YES

260

189

Will North Korean ordinance land on Japanese territory before 2028.

Dec 30, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.34%chance

6120

OptionVotes

YES

186

How many Japanese players in top 8 of Street Fighter 6 at EVO 2027?

Jun 29, 4:19 PMJun 30, 3:59 AM

1110

OptionProbability

1-2

3-4

5-6

7-8

Will any Japanese Zoo have Giant Pandas on January 1st 2027?

Nov 21, 2:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

160

In 10 years, will the lifespan of manga writers/artists be equal to that of the average Japanese male? (2024-2034)

Mar 21, 6:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.31%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

205

100

Will Haruki Murakami release a 16th novel in Japanese or English by January 1st 2028?

Nov 28, 2:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

69.86%chance

661

OptionVotes

YES

153

114

Will Japanese Imperial Succession laws change before 2027?

Sep 15, 9:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.34%chance

659

OptionVotes

YES

124

Will a Japanese emperor watch an MLB game again by end 2041

Sep 30, 8:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.3%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will the japanese tanuki be recognized as a seperate species from the mainland racoon dog by the IUCN by 2040?

Jan 15, 8:11 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

52.15%chance

428

OptionVotes

YES

120

100

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3
1 year ago
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