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Prediction markets for Amazon

AWS stops offering Anthropic models to US customers via Amazon Bedrock before May 1, 2026

Feb 28, 3:56 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

3.31%chance

2548862

OptionVotes

YES

54089

1849

Will Amazon divest from Anthropic in 2026?

Mar 1, 4:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.2%chance

243010

OptionVotes

YES

3589

279

Will Amazon accept any cryptocurrency in any country before 2030?

Feb 22, 8:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.44%chance

282125

OptionVotes

YES

937

916

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

22.57%chance

221335

OptionVotes

YES

1227

912

Will Amazon become the most valuable company at any point during the 2020s? 🏦📈💰🤑🤖

May 27, 5:20 PMJan 4, 12:59 PM

26.84%chance

15939

OptionVotes

YES

1651

606

I can buy a dog poop picking up robot on Amazon before 2028

Aug 3, 5:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.86%chance

21584

OptionVotes

YES

1087

952

Will Amazon be ruled to have illegally maintained a monopoly in the US before the end of 2029?

Oct 24, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.54%chance

17538

OptionVotes

YES

991

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM

38.74%chance

17460

OptionVotes

YES

1116

1014

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM

63.2%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

989

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

Mar 5, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.46%chance

17245

OptionVotes

YES

996

995

Will computer use APIs beat fight amazon + ebay Captchas to enable price comparisons? at mid 2027

May 31, 1:02 AMJul 1, 12:59 AM

59.5%chance

2232

OptionVotes

YES

1212

825

Will Amazon Emissions end at

Mar 8, 9:00 PMDec 31, 8:56 PM

OptionProbability

Below 16

16 - 17

17 - 18

18 - 19

19 - 20

Above 20

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